Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Prediction MLB Picks 7/5/24

Seattle Mariners (47-41) vs Toronto Blue Jays (39-47)

Game Info: Friday, July 5, 2024 at 9:40 pm (T-Mobile Park)

Luis Castillo (6-9) (3.96) vs Kevin Gausman (6-7) (4.75)

Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners -147 / Toronto Blue Jays +124 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners meet Friday in MLB game 1 action at T-Mobile Park. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Pick.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 39-48 after playing the Yankees and Astros. The Toronto Blue Jays have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The Toronto Blue Jays have won 4 of their last 5 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 99 hits and 50 RBI, while Isiah Kiner-Falefa and Bo Bichette have combined for 140 hits and 62 RBI.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 48-41 after playing the Twins and Orioles. The Seattle Mariners have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 6 games. The Seattle Mariners have lost 4 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 86 hits and 30 RBI, while Josh Rojas and Ty France have combined for 122 hits and 45 RBI.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Pick Matchup

Kevin Gausman gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 6-7 with a 4.75 ERA and 91 strikeouts this season. Gausman has allowed 37 hits and 23 earned runs in his last 36.2 innings. Gausman has a 2.22 ERA and .201 allowed batting average in 44.2 road innings. Gausman is 1-3 with a 2.75 ERA and 61 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.

Luis Castillo gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 6-9 with a 3.87 ERA and 103 strikeouts this season. Castillo has allowed 31 hits and 19 runs in his last 33.1 innings. Castillo has a 3.19 ERA and .243 allowed batting average in 53.2 home innings. Castillo is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will Beat the Mariners

  • The Mariners have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The underdogs have won each of the Mariners' last three games.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last seven games between the Blue Jays and Mariners at T-Mobile Park.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • Mitch Garver has hit a home run in three of the Mariners' last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Mitch Garver has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mariners' last three night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Luis Castillo has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances at T-Mobile Park against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Josh Rojas has recorded at least one Single in six of his last seven appearances against AL East opponents at T-Mobile Park.
  • J.P. Crawford has scored at least one run in each of his last 11 Friday night appearances.
  • Luis Castillo has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances at T-Mobile Park against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Mitch Garver has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Mitch Haniger has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Alejandro Kirk has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays' last two road games against the Mariners.
  • Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Blue Jays' last five road games against AL opponents.
  • Kevin Gausman has recorded nine or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in night games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.216).
  • The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (912).
  • The Toronto Blue Jays rank 26th in the league for steals this season (40).
  • The Toronto Blue Jays rank 5th in the league for strikeouts against this season (634).

Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

The Seattle Mariners are getting the benefit of the doubt because they're at home with Luis Castillo on the mound. However, Castillo is coming off a rough month of June, while Kevin Gausman has pitched his best on the road this season. The Mariners are the better team that's playing the better baseball, but I'll take a shot with the Blue Jays and the plus money because Gausman is on the bump.

Randy’s Pick Toronto Blue Jays +124

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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