Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction MLB Picks 7/3/24

Toronto Blue Jays (39-46) vs Houston Astros (43-42)

Game Info: Wednesday, July 3, 2024 at 7:07 pm (Rogers Centre)

Yusei Kikuchi (4-8) (4.18) vs Ronel Blanco (8-3) (2.49)

Betting Odds: Toronto Blue Jays -115 / Houston Astros -105 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 3rd at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

  • The Astros recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Blue Jays recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Houston
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Toronto 
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Houston and Toronto 
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Houston and Toronto

Astros Trying to Avoid Back to Back Losses 

The Houston Astros are 43-42 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Houston won game one of this series by a score of 3-1 on Monday, but they lost game two. Prior to this series, the Astros won two out of three against the Mets, won both games against the Rockies, and swept the Orioles. Houston is 10-2 in their last 12 games and they are second in the AL West standings. 

The Houston pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 397 runs with a .263 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez is batting .297 with 18 home runs and 46 RBI’s for the Astros this season. Houston has scored at least six runs in four of their last six games. 

Blue Jays Trying to String Some Wins Together 

The Toronto Blue Jays are 39-46 this year and they have won four of their last seven games. Toronto lost the first game in this series, but they did win game two by a score of 7-6 on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the Blue Jays split four games with the Yankees, split two games with the Red Sox, and lost all three against the Guardians. Toronto is 4-10 in their last 14 games and they are last in the AL East. 

The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.32 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 343 runs with a .235 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Davis Schneider is batting .214 with 10 home runs and 35 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. Toronto has scored at least five runs in seven of their last nine games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Ronel Blanco, who is 8-3 with a 2.49 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 90.1 innings pitched this year. Blanco has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Yusei Kikuchi, who is 4-8 with a 4.18 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 88.1 innings pitched this season. Kikuchi has allowed at least four earned runs in three straight outings. 

Why the Astros will beat the Blue Jays

  • The Astros have won five of their last six games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The Blue Jays have lost each of their last five night games at Rogers Centre following a home win.
  • The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against the Blue Jays following a loss.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games following a home win.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Blue Jays' last nine games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Astros' last four games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Astros' last five night games against AL East opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Blue Jays' last three night games at Rogers Centre.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • George Springer has hit at least one home run in three of the Blue Jays' last four night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Double in four of the Blue Jays' last five night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • George Springer has recorded two or more RBIs in each of the Blue Jays' last four night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Yusei Kikuchi has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Blue Jays as home favorites against AL opponents.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Blue Jays' last six night games.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Blue Jays' last six night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Altuve has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Yordan Alvarez has scored at least one run in each of the Astros' last seven games as underdogs.
  • Yordan Alvarez has recorded two or more RBIs in each of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one Double in three of the Astros' last four games against AL East opponents.
  • Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros' last 10 Wednesday games.
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances with the Astros against AL opponents.
  • Jeremy Pena has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six appearances against AL East opponents.

Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 

Houston is coming off of a loss in game two of this series on Tuesday and they are just 19-23 on the road, but they have been one of the hotter teams in the MLB recently and they are closing in on the Mariners in the AL West. Houston is starting Blanco, who has been very good for them this season. Toronto is 21-22 at home this season and they are dead last in the AL East. The Blue Jays are starting Kikuchi, but he has been awful in his last three outings. This Houston offense is red hot right now and I think they are going to jump on Kikuchi here. My Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction is for the Astros to win. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 7/20/24 | Ron's Rundown

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