Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Prediction MLB Picks 7/3/24

Miami Marlins (30-54) vs Boston Red Sox (44-39)

Game Info: Wednesday, July 3, 2024 at 6:40 pm (loanDepot park)

Trevor Rogers (1-8) (4.87) vs Brayan Bello (7-5) (5.55)

Betting Odds: Miami Marlins +119 / Boston Red Sox -141 --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Boston Red Sox and the Miami Marlins meet Wednesday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

The Miami Marlins recent form and player performance

The Boston Red Sox recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boston Red Sox

Recent betting trends in games played between the Marlins and Red Sox

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Marlins vs Red Sox game

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

Boston played the San Diego Padres in their weekend series. The Red Sox took losses 9-2 and 11-1 in the first two installments of that set, but staved off the sweep with a 4-1 win in the finale. On Tuesday versus the Marlins, Boston posted 13 team hits in an 8-3 win. Starting pitcher Kutter Crawford finished with 6.0 innings and one earned run.

In the starter role for Wednesday’s matchup the Red Sox are going with Brayan Bello. Over his 14 starts so far Bello is 7-5 with a 5.55 ERA. In 55 career games (53 starts), Bello is 21-24 with a 4.66 ERA.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

Over on the Marlins’ side, they played four games versus the Philadelphia Phillies this past weekend. Miami managed a split in that quartet, winning 7-4 Thursday and 3-2 Saturday. In the Tuesday matchup the Marlins were down 5-0 by the fifth inning. Valente Bellozo had 5.0 innings and five earned runs as starter.

Trevor Rogers will take the mound for the starting role Wednesday for Miami. This year in 16 starts Rogers is 1-8 with a 4.87 ERA. In 75 career starts Rogers is 14-31 with a 4.29 ERA overall.

Red Sox vs Marlins Pick Injury Notes

Red Sox SP Luis Perales (elbow) underwent a full UCL reconstruction surgery last week.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Trevor Rogers has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one Single in 12 of his last 14 appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in each of the Marlins' last two home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Josh Bell has recorded at least one total base in 15 of his 17 previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL East opponents.
  • Jazz Chisholm has scored at least one run in three of the Marlins' last four games against the Red Sox.
  • Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Marlins' last four games against the Red Sox.
  • Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his 17 previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL East opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 Wednesday appearances.
  • Triston Casas has scored a run in each of his last four appearances with the Red Sox as road favorites.
  • Rafael Devers has hit a home run in four of the Red Sox's last six games as favorites.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances in night games.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox's last four road games against NL opponents.

Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Prediction

I’ll stay with the Red Sox, but in reality I’m probably not touching it. Bello needs a good bounce-back effort here after a rough start in his last appearance. Bello managed seven earned in 2.1 innings during a loss to the Blue Jays on June 25. As for Rogers, he hasn’t been too bad lately with seven earned over his last three starts in 19.1 innings total.

On Tuesday the Red Sox were pretty hot from the very beginning and had an exceptional night on offense. Everyone in the lineup had at least one hit. I like Boston to stay hot Wednesday if Bello can notch a quality outing.

Andrew’s Pick Boston Red Sox -141

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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