Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB Picks 7/3/24

Cleveland Guardians (53-30) vs Chicago White Sox (24-63)

Game Info: Wednesday, July 3, 2024 at 6:40 pm (Progressive Field)

Gavin Williams (0-0) (0.00) vs Erick Fedde (5-3) (3.23)

Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians -189 / Chicago White Sox +159 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 3rd at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The White Sox recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Guardians recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cleveland
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Chicago and Cleveland
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Chicago and Cleveland

White Sox Fall on the Road Again 

The Chicago White Sox are 24-63 this year and they have won three of their last five games. Chicago dropped game one in this series and they allowed seven runs in the game. Prior to this series, the White Sox won two out of three against the Rockies, won a makeup game against the Braves, and lost all three against the Dodgers. Chicago is 3-6 in their last nine games and they are last in the AL Central. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.56 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The White Sox offense has scored 273 runs with a .220 batting average and a .281 on base percentage. Paul DeJong is batting .237 with 15 home runs and 34 RBI’s for the White Sox this season. Chicago has allowed at least four runs in four of their last seven games. 

Guardians are Hot at Home 

The Cleveland Guardians are 53-30 this season and they have won six home games in a row. Cleveland won the first game in this series by a score of 7-6 on Tuesday night. Prior to this series, the Guardians lost three out of four against the Royals, won two out of three against the Orioles, and swept the Blue Jays. Cleveland is 9-4 in their last 13 games and they continue to lead the AL Central. 

The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.63 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .232 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 414 runs with a .245 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .276 with 23 home runs and 76 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. Cleveland has allowed at least six runs in three of their last four games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Erick Fedde, who is 5-3 with a 3.23 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 100.1 innings pitched this year. Fedde has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Gavin Williams, who is making his first start of the season. 

Why the Guardians will beat the White Sox

  • The Guardians have won each of their last six games at Progressive Field.
  • The White Sox have lost 10 of their last 11 road games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in four of their last five home games after playing the previous day.
  • The White Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Nine of the White Sox's last 10 night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the last three games between the White Sox and Guardians at Progressive Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Guardians' last four games against American League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the White Sox's last three games at Progressive Field.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Naylor has recorded a Double in four of the Guardians' last five games against AL opponents at Progressive Field.
  • Andres Gimenez has recorded a Single in each of the Guardians' last four home games against the White Sox.
  • Josh Naylor has hit a home run in four of the Guardians' last six night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded an RBI in four of the Guardians' last five games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 18 appearances against the White Sox.
  • Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in eight of the Guardians' last nine home games.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances against the White Sox.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Andrew Vaughn has recorded two or more total bases in each of the White Sox's last seven games against the Guardians.
  • Andrew Vaughn has scored at least one run in six of the White Sox's last seven night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances at Progressive Field.
  • Luis Robert has hit a home run in five of the White Sox's last six games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Luis Robert has recorded at least one RBI in five of the White Sox's last six games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Eloy Jimenez has recorded a Single in each of his last eight road appearances.

Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 

Cleveland continues to be dominant at home this season, as they have a home record of 27-9. The Guardians were able to get the walk off win on Tuesday night and now they will have Gavin Williams on the mound, who has a ton of talent. Williams is making his first start of the season due to injury, but he is going to be a big help for the Cleveland rotation. Chicago is just 8-34 on the road and they are the lowest scoring team in the MLB, so it is a great spot for Williams to open his season. My Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians prediction is for the Guardians to win by at least two runs. 

David’s Pick Guardians -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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