Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Prediction MLB Picks 7/3/24

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Seattle Mariners (47-39) vs Baltimore Orioles (53-31)

July 3, 2024 at 10:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners -103 / Baltimore Orioles -115 — Over/Under: 7.5

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The Baltimore Orioles and the Seattle Mariners meet Wednesday in MLB action from T-Mobile Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Baltimore Orioles will send out Dean Kremer for the start here and Kremer is 3-4 with a 4.32 ERA and 49 strikeouts this season. In his career against Seattle, Kremer is 0-0 with a 3.13 ERA and 17 strikeouts. Logan Gilbert will get the start for the Mariners here and is 5-4 with a 2.72 ERA and 102 strikeouts this season. This will be Gilbert’s second career start against Baltimore.

Baltimore Orioles Recap

The Baltimore Orioles come into this one looking to build on their series-opening 2-0 win over the Mariners from Tuesday’s action. The win was just what the doctor ordered for Baltimore after their series win over the Rangers this past weekend.

Orioles Trying To Keep Ball Rolling

Going into Tuesday’s action, Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with 26 home runs, along with 58 RBIs and 4 triples but also has a team-high 88 strikeouts in addition to 13 stolen bases. Adley Rutschman has a team-high 95 hits with 15 home runs and 55 RBIs in addition to 12 doubles while Anthony Santander has 14 doubles with 22 home runs and 55 RBIs and Colton Cowser has 13 doubles and Ryan Mountcastle has a team-high 21 doubles. Cedric Mullins has also contributed a team-high 16 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The Orioles have won nine of their last 10 games as road underdogs following a road win.
  • The Mariners have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Orioles following a loss.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as road underdogs following a road win.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
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Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners will try to bounce back after a sluggish offensive showing in Tuesday’s series opener. The loss was another brick in the wall for the stumbling Mariners who have series losses to the Twins, Rays and Marlins all in the last week and a half as they watch their division lead dwindle.

Mariners In Need Of Offensive Breakout

Entering Tuesday’s matchup, Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners with 83 hits including a .247 batting average and also has 6 doubles. Cal Raleigh has a team-high 14 home runs along with 50 RBIs and 98 strikeouts. Mitch Haniger also has 7 home runs and 31 RBIs while Rodriguez has a team-high 17 stolen bases and 96 strikeouts as well this season. Dylan Moore has a team-high 14 doubles and Mitch Garver has 12 doubles also this season.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

  • The Orioles have lost each of their last seven night games at T-Mobile Park following a win.
  • The Mariners have won nine of their last 10 night games at T-Mobile Park following a loss.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against the Mariners following a road win.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against the Orioles following a home loss.

Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

I’m on the Orioles here. Initially it was supposed to be Corbin Burnes here, but Burnes has been pushed to Thursday, but I’m still fine with Kremer here. Kremer’s not the profit machine that he was last season, but he was injured in those starts where he struggled before going on the IL and now, the O’s are hot. I just don’t trust the Mariners’ offense to back up Gilbert even if Gilbert pitches a gem here. I think the O’s keep it going with a win in this one so give me Baltimore.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Baltimore -115

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