Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB Picks 6/30/24

Atlanta Braves (46-35) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (39-43)

Game Info: Sunday, June 30, 2024 at 11:35 am (Truist Park)

Spencer Schwellenbach (1-3) (5.40) vs Bailey Falter (3-6) (4.00)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -185 / Pittsburgh Pirates +155 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 30th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

  • The Pirates recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Braves recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Pittsburgh 
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Pittsburgh and Atlanta
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Pittsburgh and Atlanta

Pirates Trying to Score More Than One Run 

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 39-43 this season and they have lost four of their last six games. Pittsburgh has lost the first two games in this series and they have only scored one run in each game. Prior to this series, the Pirates won two out of three against the Reds, lost two out of three against the Rays, and won two out of three against the Reds. Pittsburgh is 3-5 in their last eight games and they are third in the NL Central. 

The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 329 runs with a .228 batting average and a .297 on base percentage. Bryan Reynolds is batting .278 with 13 home runs and 46 RBI’s for the Pirates this season. Pittsburgh has scored three runs or fewer in six of their last ten games. 

Braves are Going for the Sweep 

The Atlanta Braves are 46-35 this year and they have won three of their last five games. Atlanta has won the first two games in this series by scores of 6-1 and 2-1. Prior to this series, the Braves lost a makeup game with the White Sox, lost two out of three against the Cardinals, and won two out of three against the Yankees. Atlanta is 4-4 in their last eight games and they are second in the NL East. 

The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.49 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 352 runs with a .243 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .300 with 21 home runs and 67 RBI’s for the Braves this season. Atlanta has allowed two runs or fewer in nine of their last 12 games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Bailey Falter, who is 3-6 with a 4.00 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 83.1 innings pitched this year. Falter has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta Spencer Schwellenbach, who is 1-3 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 26.2 innings pitched this season. Schwellenbach has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last five outings. -

Why the Braves will beat the Pirates

  • The Braves have won each of their last nine home games after going to extra innings.
  • The Pirates have lost 14 of their last 15 games at Truist Park against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six Sunday day games against the Pirates.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three road games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Pirates' last nine day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Eight of the Braves' last nine games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Jarred Kelenic has hit a home run in each of the Braves' last two day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded a Double in three of the Braves' last four home games against NL opponents.
  • Jarred Kelenic has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against the Pirates after playing the previous day.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded a Single in each of the Braves' last nine games against NL opponents at Truist Park.
  • Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves' last 13 games at Truist Park.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against the Pirates.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents at Truist Park.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one Single in 10 of the Pirates' last 11 games against the Braves.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one total base in each of the Pirates' last 22 games against NL opponents.
  • Michael A. Taylor has scored a run in each of his last three road appearances against NL opponents.
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in three of the Pirates' last seven road games against the Braves.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates' last 22 games against NL opponents.
  • Yasmani Grandal has recorded an RBI in three of his last four road appearances after playing the previous day.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 

Atlanta was able to pick up another win in this series on Saturday afternoon and they will go for the series sweep here. The Braves are 26-13 at home this year, while the Pirates are 20-23 on the road. Atlanta has been slightly inconsistent this season, but their pitching staff has one of the best team ERA’s in the league. The Pirates have had some offensive issues recently and they are just trying to score more than one run in the series. I really don’t care for either starting pitcher in this matchup, but I can’t back the Pirates with how their offense has looked. My Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves prediction is for the Braves to win by at least two runs. 

David’s Pick Braves -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 7/20/24 | Ron's Rundown

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