Houston Astros vs New York Mets Prediction MLB Picks 6/30/24

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New York Mets (39-39) vs Houston Astros (40-40)

June 30, 2024 at 01:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New York Mets / Houston Astros — Over/Under:

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The Houston Astros and New York Mets meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at Citi Field. Here’s a Houston Astros vs New York Mets Prediction. This article will include a Houston Astros vs New York Mets Pick.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros look to get above a .500 record before playing the Blue Jays and Twins. The Houston Astros have scored 18 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 9 games. The Houston Astros have won 9 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 101 hits and 36 RBI, while Yordan Alvarez and Jeremy Pena have combined for 176 hits and 75 RBI.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets look to get above a .500 record before playing the Nationals and Pirates. The New York Mets have scored 25 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 straight games. The New York Mets have won 10 of their last 11 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 82 hits and 40 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 143 hits and 93 RBI.

Houston Astros vs New York Mets Pitching Pick Matchup

Shawn Dubin gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 1-1 with a 5.64 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. Dubin has allowed 11 hits and 4 earned runs in his last 8.2 innings. Dubin has a 6.14 ERA and .241 allowed batting average in 7.1 road innings. This will be Dubin’s second career game against the New York Mets.

Luis Severino gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 5-2 with a 3.29 ERA and 71 strikeouts this season. Severino has allowed 25 hits and 8 runs in his last 26.1 innings. Severino has a 2.47 ERA and .214 allowed batting average in 47.1 home innings. Severino is 2-4 with a 4.93 ERA and 51 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Why the New York Mets will Beat the Astros

  • The Mets have won eight of their last nine home games.
  • The Astros have lost four of their last five games at Citi Field following a win.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against AL West opponents.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games against NL East opponents following a win.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Double in three of the Mets’ last four home games against AL opponents.
  • Pete Alonso has hit a home run in two of the Mets’ last three games against the Astros.
  • Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in 14 of his last 17 appearances in day games.
  • Brandon Nimmo has scored at least one run in 10 of his last 11 appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Mets’ last eight games against AL opponents.
  • Francisco Lindor has recorded two hits in each of the Mets’ last five home games against AL opponents.
  • Pete Alonso has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Mets’ last six games against AL West opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Astros’ last four games against NL East opponents.
  • Kyle Tucker has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances in day games.
  • Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Astros’ last six road games against NL East opponents.
  • Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last seven games against NL opponents.
  • Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Astros’ last seven games against NL opponents.
  • Kyle Tucker has hit at least one home run in five of his last six Sunday appearances.

Houston Astros vs New York Mets Prediction

The Houston Astros have had issues stringing wins together all year, so it’s hard to figure out which team is going to show up from day to day. The New York Mets have played some of their best ball over the last couple of weeks. It’s fair to say the Mets are the more trustworthy team at the moment. Luis Severino has also been solid this year and has been even better at home, where he has a 2.47 ERA. Quick turnaround, I’ll side with the hot Mets and a pitcher who has been in good form.

Randy Chambers's Pick: New York Mets

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