Boston Red Sox vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB Picks 6/23/24

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Cincinnati Reds (36-39) vs Boston Red Sox (40-36)

June 23, 2024 at 01:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds / Boston Red Sox — Over/Under:

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In this article, we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs Cincinnati Reds prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 23rd at the Great American Ballpark. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Red Sox form and recent player performance 

-The Reds recent form and recent play performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cincinnati

-Recent betting trends in games played between Boston and Cincinnati

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Red Sox and Reds.

Red Sox Look to Win Rubber Match

The Red Sox have split the first two games against the Cincinnati Reds, and now they are going to look to win the rubber match. On Saturday it was a close game but the Red Sox were able to secure the 4-3 victory. Four different players finished with one RBI, and Dominic Smith finished with a home run. The Red Sox are averaging 4.62 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.04 runs per game. The offense is ranked 11th in the league while the defense is ranked 10th. Rafael Devers has hit 14 home runs and driven in 39 RBIs so far this season. The Red Sox will meet the Blue Jays after this series.

Why the Red Sox Will Win

  • The Reds have lost 14 of their last 15 day games against AL East opponents following a loss.
  • The Red Sox have won each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last 13 Sunday day road games.
  • The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against AL East opponents following a home loss.

Reds Need to Get the Offense Going

The Reds need to get the offense going after they didn’t score enough on Saturday. The Reds scored two runs in the bottom of the 1st but only finished with one run the rest of the game and they ended up losing. Spencer Steer hit a home run and drove in two RBis. The Reds are averaging 4.17 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.01 runs per game. The offense is ranked 19th in the league while the pitching is ranked 8th. Elly De La Cruz is having a strong season hitting 13 home runs and driving in 32 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Reds will be Nick Lodolo who sits with an 8-2 record and an ERA of 2.76. In his last start against the Pittsburgh Pirates, he went seven innings giving up four hits and one run. 

Why the Reds Will Win

  • The Red Sox have lost 10 of their last 12 games against National League opponents following a road win.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Reds have covered the run line in six of their last seven home games against teams that held a winning record.

Boston Red Sox vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

The Reds are going to win this game and take the series. Nick Lodolo has been dominant this season and he hasn’t been given enough attention for what he has done so far this year. The Red Sox are averaging 4.62 runs per game but they aren’t going to get even close that number here. The Red Sox aren’t going to score more than two runs and the Reds will get the job done. Back the Reds on the money line.

Shane Mickle's Pick: Reds ML

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