Houston Astros vs San Francisco Giants Prediction MLB Picks 6/12/24

Pick details

San Francisco Giants (33-34) vs Houston Astros (30-37)

June 12, 2024 at 03:45 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: San Francisco Giants -106 / Houston Astros -104 — Over/Under: 7.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Houston Astros and the San Francisco Giants meet Monday in MLB action from Oracle Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Houston Astros vs San Francisco Giants Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Houston Astros will send out Framber Valdez here and Valdez is 5-3 with a 3.53 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. In his career, Valdez is 1-1 with a 3.27 ERA and 14 strikeouts against the Giants. The San Francisco Giants will send out Logan Webb for the start here and is 5-5 with a 2.92 ERA and 73 strikeouts this season. In his career, Webb is 2-1 with a 3.18 ERA and 11 strikeouts against the Astros.

Houston Astros Recap

The Houston Astros will look to win the rubber match of the series after a 3-1 win in Tuesday’s matchup, evening the set up at one win apiece. A win here would keep Houston’s series win streak alive after knocking off the Angels and Cardinals in the last week.

Astros Finding Ways To Get It Done

Jose Altuve has 82 hits and a .295 batting average with 10 home runs, 26 RBIs and 12 doubles while Kyle Tucker has a team-high 19 homers with 11 doubles and 40 RBIs. Yordan Alvarez also has 13 homers with 33 RBIs and 15 doubles while Tucker has the Astros’ team lead with 10 stolen bases so far this season. Jeremy Pena also has 76 hits and a .292 batting average as well this season.

Why the Houston Astros will win

  • The Astros have won each of their last eight day games against NL West opponents.
  • The Giants have lost five of their last six games as favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last nine day games against NL West opponents.
  • The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last six day games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last nine day games against NL West opponents.
  • The Giants have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as home favorites against American League opponents.

San Francisco Giants Recap

The San Francisco Giants come into this one looking to bounce back and win the series on Wednesday despite falling short in Tuesday’s matchup. A win here would give the Giants back-to-back series triumphs of their own after taking down the Texas Rangers over the weekend.

Giants Still Trying To Drum Up Consistent Offense

Thairo Estrada leads the Giants with 59 hits along with a team-high 8 home runs and 32 RBIs while also chipping in 12 doubles. Michael Conforto has 42 hits with 8 home runs, 7 doubles and 22 RBIs while Matt Chapman has a team-high 59 hits of his own alongside 17 doubles with 8 homers, 28 RBIs and 5 stolen bases. Chapman also has the dubious distinction of leading the Giants with 65 strikeouts this season.

Why the San Francisco Giants will win

  • The Giants have won nine of their last 10 day games at Oracle Park following a loss.
  • The Astros have lost each of their last five day games following a win.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games following a win.
  • The Giants have covered the run line in five of their last six home games against the Astros following a loss.

Houston Astros vs San Francisco Giants Prediction

I’m on the under here. This is quite the pitching matchup to close out the series on Wednesday, as Logan Webb has been electric at home not just this season, with an ERA under two, but over the course of his career, he’s been a far more effective pitcher at Oracle Park. On the other side, Valdez is coming off of back-to-back strong starts, and I think he could easily have another one lined up here given the inconsistencies the Giants have shown offensively. Give me the under here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Under 7.5

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