Trojans Victor Valdes (11) and head coach Scott Cross embrace as time runs down in their 77-61 victory over the Eagles during the Georgia Southern vs Troy men’s Sun Belt Conference Championship basketball game at the Pensacola Bay Center in Pensacola, Florida on March 9, 2026.
Gregg Pachkowski/Pensacola News Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Troy vs Nebraska Prediction 3/19/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Troy Trojans Nebraska Cornhuskers
Team Records 22-11 26-6
Spread +12.5 -102 -12.5 -118
Moneyline +650 -1000
Total Over 137.5 (-112) Under 137.5 (-108)
Where Nebraska Stadium
When Thursday, March 19, 2026
Time 12:40 PM EDT
TV truTV

In this article we will formulate a Troy vs Nebraska prediction for this College Basketball game on Thursday, March 19th at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NCAA Tournament matchup.

Troy Trojans Betting Preview

The Troy Trojans are 22-11 (12-6) this season after they defeated Georgia Southern by a score of 77-61 in their last game. Troy led 38-25 at halftime and they added 39 points in the second half to secure the easy win. The Trojans shot 59% from the field, 29% on three pointers, and 71% on free throws in the game. Thomas Dowd led Troy with 23 points and 13 rebounds, while Jerrell Bellamy added 15 points and three rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Troy defeated Southern Miss by a score of 78-70 and ULM by a score of 80-65. The Trojans have scored 80.3 points per game with 38.3 rebounds and 16.0 assists per game, while they have allowed 73.1 points against per game this season. Victor Valdes is averaging 14.8 points and 4.6 assists per game, while Thomas Dowd is averaging 14.8 points and 10.1 rebounds per game for the Trojans. Troy is shooting 44.9% from the field, 73.8% on free throws, and 33.5% on three pointers this season. 

Nebraska Cornhuskers Betting Preview

The Nebraska Cornhuskers are 26-6 (15-5) this year after they lost to Purdue by a score of 74-58 in their last game. Nebraska trailed 41-28 at halftime and they only scored 30 points in the second half in the loss. The Cornhuskers shot 39% from the field, 32% on three pointers, and 44% on free throws in the game. Pryce Sandfort led Nebraska with 15 points and four rebounds, while Rienk Mast added 11 points and three assists in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Nebraska defeated Iowa by a score of 84-75, but lost to UCLA by a score of 72-52. The Cornhuskers have scored 77.3 points per game with 34.9 rebounds and 18.0 assists per game, while they have allowed 66.2 points against per game this season. Pryce Sandfort is averaging 17.8 points and 4.8 rebounds per game, while Rienk Mast is averaging 13.5 points and 5.8 rebounds per game for the Cornhuskers. Nebraska is shooting 46.5% from the field, 75.0% on free throws, and 35.3% on three pointers this season. 

Why the Nebraska Cornhuskers will win

  • Nebraska has won each of its last 13 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Troy Trojans will win

  • Troy has won 11 of its last 13 day games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Troy’s last eight games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 135 or fewer points.
  • Each of Nebraska’s last eight games against non-Conference opponents at neutral venues have produced a total of 143+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Nebraska ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (10.5).
  • Nebraska ranks 359th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (28.6).
  • Troy ranks 46th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (38.4).

Troy vs Nebraska Prediction

Nebraska comes into this matchup as a four seed in the NCAA Tournament, but they have lost two of their last three games and the offense has been inconsistent. The Cornhuskers are shooting 46% from the field and they have scored 58 points or fewer in two of their last three. Troy has won four in a row and they have scored at least 78 points in all four wins. Nebraska is one of those teams that can either hit every shot and beat anyone, or they can struggle to break 60 and lose to anyone. I am not confident enough in Nebraska to lay this many points in a spot where they have a ton of pressure, so I will take Troy and the points here.

David Racey's Pick: Troy +12.5

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