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Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United Prediction 10/4/2025 Today’s EPL Picks
Pick details
Tottenham Hotspur (3-2-1) vs Leeds United (2-2-2)
October 4, 2025 at 07:30 AM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Leeds United +175 / Tottenham Hotspur +150 — Over/Under: 2.5
Leeds United Preview
Leeds has 8 points this season, with a 2-2-2 record, and are sitting on the 12th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 1-0-2 home record and a 1-2 away record. Leeds is coming off a 2-2 home draw against Bournemouth, and have been undefeated in three of their last four games. They have been undefeated in all of their three home games this season, with two draws and one win.Leeds is scoring 1 goal per game, while allowing 1.50 goals per game. Seven different player lead Leeds’ offense with one goal each and three players are Leeds’ top passers, with one assist each.
Tottenham Hotspur Preview
Tottenham has 11 points this season, with a 3-1-2 record, and are sitting on the 4th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 1-1-1 home record and a 2-0-1 away record. Tottenham is coming off a 1-1 home draw against Wolves, and have been undefeated in their last 6 games. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 games.Tottenham is scoring 1.83 goals per game, which is tied for 4th-best in the Premier League, while allowing 0.67 goals per game, which is tied for 3rd. Richarlison is Tottenham’s top scorer with 3 goals, followed by Brennan Johnson and João Palhinha with 2 goals apiece. Mohammed Kudus is Tottenham’s top passer, with 4 assists.
Why Leeds United will win
·       Tottenham has lost four of its last five EPL matches following a league draw.·       Tottenham has lost each of its last three EPL day matches following a league draw.
·       Leeds has won 18 of its last 23 league home matches.
Why Tottenham Hotspur will win
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·       Tottenham has won each of its last seven EPL Saturday day matches against promoted teams.
·       Tottenham has won 11 of its last 12 EPL Saturday day matches against promoted teams.
·       Tottenham has won each of its last four EPL matches against Leeds.
·       Tottenham has won five of its last six EPL matches against Leeds.
·       Leeds has lost six of its last seven EPL matches following a league draw.
·       Leeds has lost seven of its last eight EPL day matches following a league draw.
Total Points Facts
·       The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 12 of Leeds’ last 14 EPL matches as an underdog.·       The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 17 of Leeds’ last 20 EPL matches as a home underdog.
·       The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of the last six EPL matches between Leeds and Tottenham.
·       The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Tottenham’s last five EPL matches as an away favorite.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United Prediction
Tottenham has won its last four meetings against Leeds, but both teams are a balanced 4-4-1 in their last 9 meetings in Leeds. Their last 9 overall meetings have gone over the 2.5 total goal mark.In this Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. Leeds has been undefeated at home this season, and Tottenham has also been without a loss in their last six games, so I will pass on a side in this balanced matchup. Both teams are 5-1 to the over in their last 6 games combined, and their last nine meetings have also been high-scoring ones. With Tottenham having the 4th-best offense in the Premier League, I expect another high-scoring affair, so take the over 2.5 goals in this one.