Tottenham Hotspur vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction 9/20/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Tottenham vs Brighton Prediction for this English Premier League Week 5 matchup on Saturday, September 20th, at the American Express Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Brighton Preview

Brighton has 4 points this season, with a 1-2-1 record, and are sitting on the 12th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 1-0-1 home record and a 0-2-0 away record. Brighton is coming off a 1-2 road defeat against Bournemouth, where they had 49% possession of the ball and 6 total shots, 2 of them on target. They had 78% completed passes, and lower expected goals, with 0.62 compared to Bournemouth’s 1.45.

Brighton is scoring 1.00 goals per game, which ranks 12th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.50 goals per game, which is 12th. Kaoru Mitoma, Matthew O’Riley, Brajan Gruda and James Milner are Brighton’s top scorers with 1 goal each. Kaoru Mitoma and Yankuba Minteh are Brighton’s top passers, with 1 assist each.

Tottenham Preview

Tottenham has 9 points this season, with a 3-1-0 record, and are sitting on the 3rd place in the Premier League standings. They have a 1-1-0 home record and a 2-0-0 away record. Tottenham is coming off a 3-0 road win against West Ham, where they had 64% possession of the ball and 14 total shots, 5 of them on target. They had 87% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.29 compared to West Ham’s 0.60.

Tottenham is scoring 2.00 goals per game, which ranks 3rd in the Premier League, while allowing 0.25 goals per game, which is 3rd. Richarlison and Brennan Johnson are Tottenham’s top scorers with 2 goals each, followed by Pape Matar Sarr, Mickey van de Ven and João Palhinha with 1 goal apiece. Richarlison is Tottenham’s top passer, with 2 assists.

Why Tottenham will win

·        Tottenham has won four of its last five EPL Saturday matches as an underdog.

·        Tottenham has won three of its last four EPL matches.

·        Brighton has won three of its last four EPL matches as a home underdog against Tottenham.

·        The underdog has won four of Tottenham’s last six EPL matches at American Express Stadium.

·        The underdog has won four of the last six EPL matches between Brighton and Tottenham at American Express Stadium.

Why Brighton will win

·        Brighton has won three of its last four EPL matches as a home underdog against Tottenham.

·        Brighton has won five of its last six EPL matches at American Express Stadium following a league loss.

·        The away team has won each of Tottenham’s last three EPL matches.

·        Tottenham has lost each of its last three EPL matches at American Express Stadium following a league win.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of the last five EPL matches between Brighton and Tottenham.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 18 of Tottenham’s last 20 EPL Saturday matches.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Brighton’s last seven EPL matches as a home favorite.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in eight of Brighton’s last 10 EPL home matches.

Tottenham vs Brighton Prediction

In their two meetings last season, Brighton won 4-1 on the road and 3-2 at home. Brighton is 5-2-1 in their last 8 meetings against Tottenham. Both teams to score – Yes is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings, and over 2.5 goals is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings.

In this Tottenham vs Brighton Prediction, Brighton is coming as +130 home favorites. The wrong team is favored in this game, as Tottenham has 9 points this season, having won three of their four games, including both road games. Tottenham has the third-best defense in the league, while Brighton scores just one goal per game. The value here lies with the road dog, as I expect the guests to keep this one close at least. Take Tottenham by +0.25 goals in this one.