Newcastle United Newcastle United vs Bournemouth Bournemouth Prediction 9/21/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction for this English Premier League Week 5 matchup on Sunday, September 21st, at the Vitality Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Bournemouth Preview

Bournemouth has 9 points this season, with a 3-1-0 record, and are sitting on the 4th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 2-0-0 home record and a 1-1-0 away record. Bournemouth is coming off a 2-1 home win against Brighton, where they had 51% possession of the ball and 13 total shots, 5 of them on target. They had 79% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.45 compared to Brighton’s 0.62.

Bournemouth is scoring 1.50 goals per game, which ranks 4th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.25 goals per game, which is 4th. Antoine Semenyo is Bournemouth’s top scorer with 3 goals, followed by Alex Scott, Evanilson and Marcus Tavernier with 1 goal apiece. Antoine Semenyo is Bournemouth’s top passer, with 2 assists.

Newcastle Preview

Newcastle has 5 points this season, with a 1-1-2 record, and are sitting on the 10th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 1-1-0 home record and a 0-0-2 away record. Newcastle is coming off a 1-0 home win against Wolves, where they had 57% possession of the ball and 16 total shots, 4 of them on target. They had 80% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.56 compared to Wolves’ 0.50.

Newcastle is scoring 0.75 goals per game, which ranks 10th in the Premier League, while allowing 0.75 goals per game, which is 10th. Bruno Guimarães, Will Osula and Nick Woltemade are Newcastle’s top scorers with 1 goal each. Valentino Livramento and Jacob Murphy are Newcastle’s top passers, with 1 assist each.

Why Bournemouth will win

·        Bournemouth has won each of its last four EPL day matches.

·        Bournemouth has won four of its last five EPL matches.

·        Bournemouth has won each of its last three EPL home matches.

·        The favorite has won five of Bournemouth’s last six EPL matches.

·        The favorite has won each of Bournemouth’s last three EPL matches at Vitality Stadium.

·        The favorite has won four of Bournemouth’s last six EPL matches at Vitality Stadium.

·        The home team has won five of Bournemouth’s last six EPL matches.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Newcastle United’s last eight EPL matches.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Bournemouth’s last six EPL home matches.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Newcastle United’s last four EPL Sunday day matches.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Bournemouth’s last six EPL matches as a home favorite.

Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction

In their two meetings last season, Bournemouth beat Newcastle 4-1 on the road, while both teams had a 1-1 draw at Vitality Stadium. Bournemouth is 2-0-3 in their last 5 meetings against Newcastle. Both teams to score – Yes is 7-1 in their last 8 meetings.

In this Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction, Bournemouth is coming as +135 home favorites. Bournemouth has been very good this season, winning three of their four games, and have won both games at home. Newcastle had to play a mid-week game for the Champions League, so tired legs will be an issue. Bournemouth is also undefeated in their last five meetings against Newcastle, so I like them in this spot for plus money. Take Bournemouth on the moneyline in this one.