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Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction 8/31/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

Pick details

Manchester City (1-0-1) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (0-1-1)

August 31, 2025 at 09:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Brighton & Hove Albion +285 / Manchester City +110 — Over/Under: 2.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction for this English Premier League Week 3 matchup on Sunday, August 31st, at the American Express Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Brighton & Hove Albion Preview

Brighton & Hove Albion has one point this season, with a 0-1-1 record, and are tied with three more teams in the 15th place of the Premier League Standings. They are coming off a 6-0 road victory over Oxford United for the English Cup, where they had 62% possession of the ball and 19 total shots, with 9 shots on goal. They had 92% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 2.35 compared to Oxford United’s 1.71. They average 0.5 goal per game, while allowing 1.5 goals per game as well. Under is 2-1 in their last 3 matches.

Manchester City Preview

Manchester City has 3 points this season, with 1-1 record, and are tied with 6 more teams in the 7th place of the Premier League Standings. They are coming off a 0-2 home defeat by Tottenham, where they had 61% possession of the ball and 10 total shots, with 4 shots on goal. They had 87% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 1.55 compared to Tottenham’s 1.11. They average 2 goals per game, while allowing 1 goal per game.

Why Brighton & Hove Albion will win

·        Brighton has won each of its last three EPL matches as a home underdog following a league loss.

·        Brighton has won 11 of its last 15 EPL day matches at American Express Stadium following a league loss.

Why Manchester City will win

·        Manchester City has won five of its last six EPL day matches against Brighton.

·        Manchester City has won 29 of its last 37 EPL matches following a league loss.

·        Brighton has lost each of its last four EPL Week 3 home matches.

·        The away team has won each of Manchester City’s last three EPL matches.

·        The favorite has won seven of Manchester City’s last nine EPL matches.

·        The favorite has won 12 of the last 16 EPL matches between Brighton and Manchester City.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Brighton’s last five EPL home matches.

·        The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in seven of Brighton’s last eight EPL home matches.

·        The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in each of Manchester City’s last seven EPL away matches.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Manchester City’s last seven EPL away matches.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Brighton’s last seven EPL day matches as an underdog.

Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction

In their two meetings this season, Brighton won 2-1 at home, while both teams had a 2-2 draw in Manchester. Manchester City is 5-1-2 in their last 8 meetings against Brighton, and both teams are a balanced 2-2-1 in their last 5 meetings in American Express Stadium. Over is 8-1 in their last 9 overall meetings.

In this Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction, Manchester City is coming as +110 road favorites. Brighton had a draw in their only home game this season, while City destroyed Wolves in their only road game by 4-0. City has been dominating Brighton in recent years, and Brighton’s offense has been struggling this season, with just one goal in two games. Add to the fact that Brighton played an extra game mid-week for the English Cup, so I like the chances with the road team in this one. Take Manchester City to win this one on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Manchester City +110

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