West Ham United defender Nayef Aguerd (27) trips up Wolverhampton Wanderers forward Goncalo Guedes (29) during the second half of The Stateside Cup soccer tournament game Saturday, July 27, 2024 at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Fla. The Wolverhampton Wanderers defeated West Ham United 3-1 in exhibition play.

Leeds United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers Prediction 9/20/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

Pick details

Leeds United (1-1-2) vs Wolverhampton (0-0-4)

September 20, 2025 at 10:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Wolves +180 / Leeds United +250 — Over/Under: 2.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Leeds United vs Wolves Prediction for this English Premier League Week 5 matchup on Saturday, September 20th, at the Molineux Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Wolverhampton Wanderers Preview

Wolverhampton Wanderers has 0 points this season, with a 0-4-0 record, and are sitting on the 20th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 0-2-0 home record and a 0-2-0 away record. Wolverhampton Wanderers is coming off a 0-1 road defeat against Newcastle, where they had 43% possession of the ball and 8 total shots, 3 of them on target. They had 76% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.50 compared to Newcastle’s 1.56.

Wolverhampton Wanderers is scoring 0.50 goals per game, which ranks 18th in the Premier League, while allowing 2.25 goals per game, which is 19th. Hee-Chan Hwang and Rodrigo Gomes are Wolverhampton Wanderers’ top scorers with 1 goal each. Marshall Munetsi and David Møller Wolfe are Wolverhampton Wanderers’ top passers, with 1 assist each.

 Leeds United Preview

Leeds United has 4 points this season, with a 1-2-1 record, and are sitting on the 16th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 1-1-0 home record and a 0-2-0 away record. Leeds United is coming off a 0-1 road defeat against Fulham, where they had 46% possession of the ball and 10 total shots, 3 of them on target. They had 81% completed passes, and slightly fewer expected goals, with 0.79 compared to Fulham’s 0.85.

Leeds United is scoring 0.25 goals per game, which ranks 19th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.50 goals per game, which is 14th. Gabriel Gudmundsson and Lukas Nmecha are Leeds United’s top scorers with 1 goal apiece. Gabriel Gudmundsson is Leeds United’s top passer, with 0 assists.

Why Wolves will win

·        Wolverhampton has won seven of its last eight EPL day matches against promoted teams.

·        Wolverhampton has won six of its last seven EPL matches against promoted teams.

·        Leeds has lost each of its last seven EPL away matches.

·        Leeds has lost nine of its last 10 EPL away matches.

·        Leeds has lost eight of its last nine EPL day matches.

Why Leeds United will win

·        Leeds has won each of its last seven league matches as a favorite.

·        Leeds has won five of its last six league matches following a league loss.

·        Wolverhampton has lost seven of its last eight EPL matches.

·        Wolverhampton has won seven of its last eight EPL day matches against promoted teams.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Leeds’ last eight EPL away matches.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Leeds’ last six league day matches as a favorite.

·        The ‘Under 1.5 Goals’ market has hit in three of Leeds’ last four EPL matches.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 13 of Leeds’ last 17 EPL matches.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Leeds’ last eight EPL matches as a favorite.

Leeds United vs Wolves Prediction

In their last meeting in 2023, Leeds beat Wolves 4-2 on the road. Leeds is 3-1-0 in their last 4 meetings against Wolverhampton Wanderers, over 2.5 goals is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings, and Both teams to score – Yes is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Leeds United vs Wolves Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. Wolves are by far the weakest team in the Premier League so far, as they have lost all of their four games played. Leeds has been better, but they are struggling mightily offensively, and both teams score just 0.75 goals per game combined. I don’t expect both offenses to wake up suddenly, so this will be a low-scoring grind. Take the under 2.5 goals.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 2.5

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