Leeds United vs Manchester City Prediction 11/29/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Leeds United vs Manchester City Prediction for this English Premier League Week 13 matchup on Saturday, November 29th, at the Etihad Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Manchester City Preview

Manchester City has 22 points this season, with a 7-4-1 record, and is sitting on the 3rd place in the Premier League standings. They have a 5-1-0 home record and a 2-3-1 away record. Manchester City is coming off a 2-1 road defeat to Newcastle United, where they had 67% possession of the ball and 17 total shots, 4 of them on target. They had 90% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 2.49 compared to Newcastle United’s 2.24.

Manchester City is scoring 2.00 goals per game, which ranks 3rd in the Premier League, while allowing 0.83 goals per game, which is 2nd. Erling Haaland is Manchester City’s top scorer with 14 goals, followed by Rúben Dias, Tijani Reijnders, Jeremy Doku, Nico González, Ryan Cherki, Matheus Nunes and Nico O’Reilly with one goal apiece. Jeremy Doku is Manchester City’s top passer, with 3 assists.

Leeds United Preview

Leeds United has 11 points this season, with a 3-7-2 record, and is sitting on the 18th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 2-2-2 home record and a 1-5-0 away record. Leeds is coming off a 2-1 home defeat to Aston Villa, where they had 48% possession of the ball and 14 total shots, 5 of them on target. They had 85% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.79 compared to Aston Villa’s 1.58.

Leeds is scoring 0.92 goals per game, which ranks 18th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.83 goals per game, which is 18th. Lukas Nmecha is Leeds’s top scorer with 3 goals, followed by Joe Rodon and Noah Okafor with two goals apiece and Gabriel Gudmundsson, Anton Stach, Sean Longstaff, Brenden Aaronson and Dominic Calvert-Lewin with one goal apiece. Sean Longstaff is Leeds’s top passer, with 2 assists.

Why Manchester City will win

·        Manchester City has won each of its last 13 EPL home matches against promoted teams.

·        Manchester City has won 14 of its last 15 EPL matches against promoted teams.

·        Manchester City has won 23 of its last 26 EPL home matches following a league loss.

·        Manchester City has won each of its last four EPL matches against Leeds.

·        The home team has won each of Manchester City’s last five EPL matches.

·        The home team has won six of Manchester City’s last seven EPL matches.

·        The home team has won four of Leeds’ last five EPL matches.

·        Leeds has lost each of its last nine EPL matches as an away underdog.

·        Leeds has lost 10 of its last 11 EPL matches as an away underdog.

·        Leeds has lost 10 of its last 11 EPL away matches.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in nine of Leeds’ last 10 EPL matches as an away underdog.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Leeds’ last eight EPL matches.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Leeds’ last four EPL matches.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Manchester City’s last five EPL home matches.

·        The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in three of the last four EPL matches between Manchester City and Leeds.

Leeds United vs Manchester City Prediction

City has won its last four meetings against Leeds, including both last season. They won at home by 2-1 and on the road by 3-1. Over is 7-1 in their last 8 meetings.

In this Leeds United vs Manchester City Prediction, Manchester City is coming as huge -417 home favorites. City has been the superior team this season, having twice as many points as Leeds and have been almost perfect at home, with a 5-1 record, while on the other hand, Leeds has been terrible on the road, with 5 defeats in 6 road games. Even though they are coming off a mid-week loss for the Champions League, City is facing a struggling Leeds team that is 1-5 in its last 6 overall games, so I expect a comfortable bounce-back win at home. Take Manchester City by -1.5 goals in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Manchester City -1.5