Everton vs Chelsea Prediction 12/13/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Everton vs Chelsea Prediction for this English Premier League Week 16 matchup on Saturday, December 13th, at the Stamford Bridge Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Chelsea Preview

Chelsea has 25 points this season, with a 7-4-4 record, and are sitting on the 5th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 3-2-2 home record and a 4-2-2 away record. Chelsea is coming off a 0-0 draw against Bournemouth on the road, where they had 61% possession of the ball and 11 total shots, 4 of them on target. They had 83% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.92 compared to Bournemouth’s 1.42.

Chelsea is scoring 1.79 goals per game, which ranks 5th in the Premier League, while allowing 0.86 goals per game, which is 3rd. Pedro Neto is Chelsea’s top scorer with 5 goals, followed by Enzo Fernández and João Pedro with four goals apiece and Trevoh Chalobah and Moisés Caicedo with three goals apiece. João Pedro and Reece James are Chelsea’s top passers, with 3 assists each.

Everton Preview

Everton has 24 points this season, with a 7-5-3 record, and are sitting on the 7th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 4-2-2 home record and a 3-3-1 away record. Everton is coming off a 3-0 win against Nottingham Forest at home, where they had 41% possession of the ball and 11 total shots, 5 of them on target. They had 78% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.11 compared to Nottingham Forest’s 0.54.

Everton is scoring 1.50 goals per game, which ranks 7th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.13 goals per game, which is 7th. Iliman Ndiaye and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall are Everton’s top scorers with 4 goals each, followed by Michael Keane, Idrissa Gueye and Jack Grealish with two goals apiece. Jack Grealish is Everton’s top passer, with 4 assists.

Why Chelsea will win

·        Chelsea has won five of its last six EPL Week 16 home matches.

·        Chelsea has won three of its last four EPL day matches against Everton at Stamford Bridge.

·        Chelsea has won three of its last four EPL Saturday matches.

·        Chelsea has won 10 of its last 14 EPL home matches against Everton.

·        Chelsea has won five of its last seven EPL Saturday home matches.

·        Chelsea has won 10 of its last 14 EPL matches as a home favorite.

·        The home team has won three of the last four EPL matches between Chelsea and Everton.

·        The favorite has won three of the last four EPL matches between Chelsea and Everton.

Why Everton will win

·        Everton has won four of its last five EPL matches.

·        Everton has won eight of its last 12 EPL day matches.

·        Everton has won four of its last six EPL away matches following a league win.

·        The away team has won three of Everton’s last four EPL matches.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Everton’s last four EPL away matches.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 12 of Everton’s last 14 EPL day matches as an underdog.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Chelsea’s last five EPL home matches.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 19 of Everton’s last 24 EPL away matches.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in three of Chelsea’s last four EPL matches.

Everton vs Chelsea Prediction

Both teams are a perfectly balanced 5-5-5 in their last 15 overall meetings and the under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Everton vs Chelsea Prediction, Chelsea is coming as -155 home favorites. Chelsea is being overvalued in this spot, as Everon has just one point less this season and have been in far better form lately, as they have lost only once in their last six games and are undefeated in their last three games on the road. On the flip side, Chelsea has been winless in its last four games and have also played an extra mid-week game for the Champions League, where they had to travel to Italy to face Atalanta. I like the more well-rested and fresh guests to keep this one close, so take Everton by +0.5 goals in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Everton +0.5