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Everton vs Liverpool Prediction 9/20/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

Pick details

Everton (2-1-1) vs Liverpool (4-0-0)

September 20, 2025 at 07:30 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Liverpool -225 / Everton +700 — Over/Under: 3

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Everton vs Liverpool Prediction for this English Premier League Week 5 matchup on Saturday, September 20th, at the Anfield Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Liverpool Preview

Liverpool has 12 points this season, with a 4-0-0 record, and are sitting on the 1st place in the Premier League standings. They have a 2-0-0 home record and a 2-0-0 away record. Liverpool is coming off a 1-0 road win against Burnley, where they had 81% possession of the ball and 27 total shots, 4 of them on target. They had 88% completed passes, and higher expected goals, with 2.65 compared to Burnley’s 0.13.

Liverpool is scoring 2.25 goals per game, which ranks 1st in the Premier League, while allowing 1.00 goals per game, which is 8th. Mohamed Salah is Liverpool’s top scorer with 2 goals, followed by Hugo Ekitike with 2 goals, and Dominik Szoboszlai, Cody Gakpo, Federico Chiesa, Rio Ngumoha, and Ryan Gravenberch with 1 goal apiece. Cody Gakpo is Liverpool’s top passer, with 2 assists.

Everton Preview

Everton has 7 points this season, with a 2-1-1 record, and are sitting on the 6th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 1-0-1 home record and a 1-0-1 away record. Everton is coming off a 0-0 home draw against Aston Villa, where they had 48% possession of the ball and 20 total shots, 2 of them on target. They had 82% completed passes, and higher expected goals, with 2.08 compared to Aston Villa’s 0.54.

Everton is scoring 1.25 goals per game, which ranks 7th in the Premier League, while allowing 0.75 goals per game, which is 5th. Iliman Ndiaye is Everton’s top scorer with 2 goals, followed by Beto Bercique, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, and James Garner with 1 goal apiece. Jack Grealish is Everton’s top passer, with 4 assists.

Why Liverpool will win

·        Liverpool has won each of its last six EPL home matches following a league win.

·        Liverpool has won 10 of its last 11 EPL home matches following a league win.

·        Liverpool has won each of its last four EPL matches.

·        Liverpool has won each of its last four EPL matches against Everton at Anfield.

·        Liverpool has won six of its last seven EPL home matches against Everton.

·        The home team has won 10 of Liverpool’s last 15 EPL matches.

·        The favorite has won each of Liverpool’s last four EPL matches.

Why Everton will win

·        Everton has won four of its last five EPL day matches as an away underdog.

·        Everton has won each of its last three EPL day matches as an underdog.

·        Everton has won four of its last six EPL Saturday matches as an away underdog.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 10 of Everton’s last 11 EPL matches as an underdog.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Everton’s last eight EPL matches at Anfield.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Liverpool’s last eight EPL home matches against Everton.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Everton’s last five EPL matches at Anfield.

Everton vs Liverpool Prediction

In their two meetings last season, Liverpool beat Everton 1-0 at home, while both teams had a 2-2 draw at Everton’s home court. Liverpool is 5-1-2 in their last 8 meetings against Everton. Both teams to score – No is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings, and under 2.5 goals is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings.

In this Everton vs Liverpool Prediction, Liverpool is coming as -200 home favorites. Liverpool is the only undefeated team in the league, having won all their four games this season, and they have the best offense in the Premier League, with 2.25 goals per game. On the flip side, Everton has also started the season in very good form, and have the 5th-best defense in the league. Liverpool is the absolute favorite, but I trust the guests to keep this one relatively close. Take Everton by +0.5 goals in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Everton +0.5

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