Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction 9/20/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction for this English Premier League Week 5 matchup on Saturday, September 20th, at the Old Trafford. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Manchester United Preview

Manchester United has 4 points this season, with a 1-2-1 record, and are sitting on the 14th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 1-1-0 home record and a 0-1-1 away record. Manchester United is coming off a 0-3 road defeat against Manchester City, where they had 55% possession of the ball and 12 total shots, 2 of them on target. They had 84% completed passes, and lower expected goals, with 1.52 compared to Manchester City’s 2.63.

Manchester United is scoring 1.00 goals per game, which ranks 14th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.75 goals per game, which is 14th. Bruno Fernandes is Manchester United’s top scorer with 1 goal. Diogo Dalot is Manchester United’s top passer, with 1 assist.

Chelsea Preview

Chelsea has 8 points this season, with a 2-0-2 record, and are sitting on the 5th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 1-0-1 home record and a 1-0-1 away record. Chelsea is coming off a 2-2 road draw against Brentford, where they had 66% possession of the ball and 16 total shots, 6 of them on target. They had 91% completed passes, and lower expected goals, with 1.25 compared to Brentford’s 1.42.

Chelsea is scoring 2.25 goals per game, which ranks 5th in the Premier League, while allowing 0.75 goals per game, which is 5th. Enzo Fernández, João Pedro and Moisés Caicedo are Chelsea’s top scorers with 2 goals each, followed by Pedro Neto, Cole Palmer and Trevoh Chalobah with 1 goal apiece. João Pedro is Chelsea’s top passer, with 3 assists.

Why Manchester United will win

·        Manchester United has won three of its last four EPL night matches as a home underdog.

·        Manchester United has won five of its last six EPL Week 5 home matches.

·        Manchester United has won four of its last six EPL night matches.

·        The home team has won four of the last five EPL matches between Manchester United and Chelsea.

Why Chelsea will win

·        Chelsea has won four of its last five EPL night matches.

·        Chelsea has won seven of its last 10 EPL matches.

·        Chelsea has won seven of its last eight EPL night matches following a league draw.

·        Chelsea has won four of its last five EPL night matches as a favorite.

·        Manchester United has lost four of its last five EPL night matches following a league loss.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Manchester United’s last six EPL matches as a home underdog.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Manchester United’s last seven EPL home matches.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Manchester United’s last three EPL Saturday home matches.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Manchester United’s last nine EPL matches as a home underdog.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Chelsea’s last seven EPL matches.

Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction

In their two meetings last season, Chelsea beat Manchester United 1-0 at home, while both teams had a 1-1 draw at Old Trafford. Chelsea is 5-2-1 in their last 8 meetings against Manchester United. Both teams to score – No is 5-3 in their last 8 meetings, and under 2.5 goals is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings.

In this Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. Chelsea has been far better than United this season, and they have twice as many points so far. Chelsea has been a top-5 team in the Premier League both offensively and defensively, winning by an average of 1.5 goals per game. On the flip side, United has a negative point differential and a terrible history against Chelsea. I expect the guests to keep this one close and certainly not lose, so take Chelsea PK in this one.