Chelsea vs Everton Prediction 3/21/2026 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Chelsea vs Everton Prediction for this English Premier League Week 31 matchup on Saturday, March 21st, at the Hill Dickinson Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Everton Preview

Everton has 43 points this season, with a 12-11-7 record, and are sitting in 8th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 5-5-4 home record and a 7-6-3 away record. Everton is coming off a 0-2 loss against Arsenal on the road, where they had 36% possession of the ball and 9 total shots, 3 of them on target. They had 74% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 1.05 compared to Arsenal’s 2.70.

Everton is scoring 1.13 goals per game, which ranks 17th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.17 goals per game, which is 5th. Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Thiemo Barry are Everton’s top scorers with 6 goals each, followed by Iliman Ndiaye with 5 goals. Jack Grealish is Everton’s top passer, with 6 assists.

Chelsea Preview

Chelsea has 48 points this season, with a 13-8-9 record, and are sitting in 6th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 6-5-3 home record and a 7-3-6 away record. Chelsea is coming off a 0-1 loss against Newcastle United at home, where they had 67% possession of the ball and 22 total shots, 3 of them on target. They had 92% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 1.38 compared to Newcastle United’s 1.41.

Chelsea is scoring 1.77 goals per game, which ranks 4th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.17 goals per game, which is 5th. João Pedro is Chelsea’s top scorer with 14 goals, followed by Cole Palmer with 9 goals and Enzo Fernández with 8 goals. João Pedro and Reece James are Chelsea’s top passers, with 5 assists each.

Why Everton will win

·        Everton has won four of its last six EPL matches as a home underdog against Chelsea.

·        Everton has won five of its last seven EPL home matches against Chelsea.

·        The home team has won four of the last five EPL matches between Everton and Chelsea.

Why Chelsea will win

·        Chelsea has won six of its last seven EPL night matches following a league loss.

·        Chelsea has won three of its last four EPL matches against Everton.

·        Chelsea has won seven of its last 10 EPL matches following a league loss.

·        Everton has lost three of its last four EPL night matches.

·        Everton has lost three of its last four EPL home matches following a league loss.

·        The away team has won four of Everton’s last six EPL matches.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Chelsea’s last five EPL away matches.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Everton’s last five EPL home matches against Chelsea.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Chelsea’s last five EPL matches as an away favorite.

·        The ‘Under 1.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Everton’s last five EPL home matches against Chelsea.

Chelsea vs Everton Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season, Chelsea won 2-0 at home but have won only once in their last 8 visits in Hill Dickinson Stadium. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.

In this Chelsea vs Everton Prediction, Chelsea is coming as +110 road favorites. Chelsea has been the better team this season but they have been struggling lately with three straight defeats and also had an extra mid-week game for the Champions League. They have also been struggling in their recent visits in Hill Dickinson Stadium and I expect their morale to be rock-bottom after getting eliminated in the Champions League with a combined 8-2 score by PSG. Take Everton by +0.5 to keep this one close.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Everton +0.5