Burnley vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction 8/16/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Burnley vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction for this English Premier League Week 1 game on Saturday, August 16^th, at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Tottenham Hotspur Preview

Tottenham Hotspur finished last season with 38 points this season were placed 17^th the Premier League standings, just one spot above the relegation zone. Tottenham had a 11-22-5 record last season and had a 6-10-3 home record. In their final game of the regular season, they lost 1-4 at home by Brighton. Under was 5-1 in their last 6 games of the season.  

Tottenham Hotspur scored 1.68 goals per game, while allowing 1.71 goals per game. Brennan Johnson was the top scorer for Tottenham Hotspur last season with 11 total goals, while James Maddison followed with 9 goals. Heung-Min Son is the team’s top passer, with 9 assists made.

Burnley Preview

Burnley finished last season with 53 points and were placed second in the Championship standings, and were promoted to the Premier League. Burnley had a 28-2-16 record last season, while having a 14-2-7 road record. In their final game of the regular season, they won Millwall at home by 3-1. Their last 5 games of the season went over the total.

Burnley scored 1.50 goals per game, while allowing 0.35 goals per game. Josh Brownhill was the top scorer for Burnley last season with 18 total goals, while Zian Flemming followed with 12 goals. Jaidon Anthony was the team’s top passer, with 7 assists made.

Why Tottenham Hotspur will win

• Tottenham has won nine of its last 10 EPL Saturday matches against promoted teams.
• Tottenham has won seven of its last eight EPL home matches against Burnley.
• Tottenham has won each of its last five EPL day matches against Burnley.
• Tottenham has won each of its last six EPL Saturday matches as a home favorite.
• Tottenham has lost six of its last seven EPL matches.
• Tottenham has won 33 of its last 39 EPL home matches against promoted teams.
• The favorite has won five of the last six EPL matches between Tottenham and Burnley.

Why Burnley will win

• Burnley has won each of its last seven league day matches.
• Burnley has won eight of its last nine league matches.
• Burnley has won three of its last four league day matches as an underdog.
• Tottenham has lost four of its last five EPL day matches.
• Tottenham has lost each of its last three EPL matches.

Total Points Facts

• The ‘Both Teams To Score’ market has hit in 11 of Tottenham’s last 12 EPL Saturday home matches.
• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in 21 of Tottenham’s last 23 EPL matches as a home favorite.
• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in three of the last four EPL matches between Tottenham and Burnley at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in four of the last six EPL matches between Tottenham and Burnley.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Tottenham’s last 10 EPL home matches against promoted teams.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 21 of Tottenham’s last 23 EPL matches as a home favorite.

Burnley vsTottenham Hotspur Prediction

Tottenham is 8-1 in their last 9 head-to-head meetings against Burnley, and are a dominating 11-0-1 in their last 12 home meetings against Burnley, but their last three home wins were by just one goal. Under is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Burnley vsTottenham Hotspur Prediction, Tottenham is coming as huge -290 home favorites. Tottenham was terrible last season, but they managed to win the Europa League Championship, and they will be looking to start the new season on the right foot, but a -290 price with a team that barely avoided relegation last season is just obsurd. Burnley is back in the Premier League and they will not go down without a fight. Tottenham will not win this by more than two goals, so take Burnley by +1.5 goals in this one.