Aston Villa vs Sunderland Prediction 9/21/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Aston Villa vs Sunderland Prediction for this English Premier League Week 5 matchup on Sunday, September 21st, at the Stadium of Light. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Sunderland Preview

Sunderland has 7 points this season, with a 2-1-1 record, and are sitting on the 7th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 2-0-0 home record and a 0-1-1 away record. Sunderland is coming off a 0-0 road draw against Crystal Palace, where they had 44% possession of the ball and 6 total shots, 0 of them on target. They had 80% completed passes, and less expected goals, with 0.36 compared to Crystal Palace’s 1.77.

Sunderland is scoring 1.25 goals per game, which ranks 7th in the Premier League, while allowing 0.75 goals per game, which is 5th. Wilson Isidor is Sunderland’s top scorer with 2 goals, followed by Daniel Ballard, Eliezer Mayenda Dossou and Enzo Le Fée with 1 goal apiece. Chemsdine Talbi, Simon Adingra, Granit Xhaka and Omar Alderete are Sunderland’s top passers, with 1 assist each.

Aston Villa Preview

Aston Villa has 2 points this season, with a 0-2-2 record, and are sitting on the 19th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 0-1-1 home record and a 0-1-1 away record. Aston Villa is coming off a 0-0 road draw against Everton, where they had 52% possession of the ball and 7 total shots, 1 of them on target. They had 82% completed passes, and less expected goals, with 0.54 compared to Everton’s 2.08.

Aston Villa has not scored a goal in the Premier League yet, while allowing one goal per game, which is 8th in the league.

Why Sunderland will win

·        The underdog has won each of Sunderland’s last six league matches at Stadium of Light.

·        The underdog has won three of Aston Villa’s last four EPL matches at Stadium of Light.

·        The underdog has won eight of Sunderland’s last 10 league matches.

·        The home team has won five of Sunderland’s last six EPL matches.

·        Sunderland has won four of its last five league day matches as a home underdog.

·        Sunderland has won each of its last three league day matches as a home underdog.

·        Aston Villa has lost four of its last five EPL matches as an away favorite following a league draw.

·        Aston Villa has lost three of its last four EPL matches as a favorite.

Why Aston Villa will win

·        Sunderland has lost each of its last five EPL Sunday matches.

·        Sunderland has lost each of its last five EPL Sunday day matches.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Aston Villa’s last seven EPL away matches against promoted teams.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Aston Villa’s last eight EPL matches.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Aston Villa’s last four EPL away matches.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Aston Villa’s last six EPL matches as a favorite.

Aston Villa vs Sunderland Prediction

Aston Villa won both meetings against Sunderland back in the 2017/18 season, by 2-1 at home and 3-0 on the road. Aston Villa is 4-1-3 in their last 8 meetings against Sunderland. Both teams to score – No is 5-3 in their last 8 meetings, and over 2.5 goals is 5-3 in their last 8 meetings.

In this Aston Villa vs Sunderland Prediction, Aston Villa is coming as +110 road favorites. There is absolutely no way to back a team as road favorites when they have failed to score a single goal in four games this season. Sunderland has been perfect at home this season, having won both games, and they have the 5th-best defense in the Premier League. The wrong team is favored in this spot, and the value lies with the home dog. To play it safe, take Sunderland by +0.5 at home in this one, but I would sprinkle on the moneyline as well.