Pick details
| MATCHUP | Aston Villa Aston Villa | Manchester City Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 18-8-11 | 23-9-5 |
| Where | Etihad Stadium, Manchester | |
| When | Sunday, May 24, 2026 | |
| Time | 11:00 AM EDT | |
| TV | Peacock | |
Manchester City Preview
Manchester City has 78 points this season, with a 23-5-9 record, and sits in 2nd place in the Premier League standings. They have a 14-3-1 home record and a 9-6-4 away record. Manchester City is coming off a 1-1 draw against Bournemouth on the road, where they had 54% possession of the ball and 14 total shots, 5 of them on target. They had 87% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 1.48 compared to Bournemouth’s 2.25.
Manchester City is scoring 2.05 goals per game, which ranks 1st in the Premier League, while allowing 0.89 goals per game, which is 1st. Erling Haaland is Manchester City’s top scorer with 27 goals, followed by Antoine Semenyo with 16 goals and Phil Foden with 7 goals. Ryan Cherki is Manchester City’s top passer, with 12 assists.
Aston Villa Preview
Aston Villa has 62 points this season, with a 18-11-8 record, and sits in 4th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 12-5-2 home record and a 6-6-6 away record. Aston Villa is coming off a 4-2 win against Liverpool at home, where they had 45% possession of the ball and 14 total shots, 9 of them on target. They had 82% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.84 compared to Liverpool’s 1.43.
Aston Villa is scoring 1.46 goals per game, which ranks 11th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.30 goals per game, which is 8th. Ollie Watkins is Aston Villa’s top scorer with 14 goals, followed by Morgan Rogers with 10 goals and Emi Buendía with 6 goals. Lucas Digne is Aston Villa’s top passer, with 7 assists.
Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction
In their previous meeting earlier this season, Aston Villa won 1-0 at home and both teams are tied 3-3 in their last 6 meetings. Both teams to score – yes is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings.
In this Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction, Manchester City is coming as huge -340 home favorites. This is the final game week of the league and City failed to win in the title race against Arsenal and have the second place of the league locked in. Villa has also secured a top-5 place that leads to next season’s Champions League and were crowned champions of the Europa League on Wednesday, but still +700 underdogs in this spot is insane. Last time Villa lost by multiple goals was back in March and even though this is a letdown spot for them, I don’t think they will get blown out. Take Aston Villa by +1.5 goals in this one.
Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Aston Villa +1.5
