Aston Villa vs Brentford FC Prediction 8/23/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Aston Villa vs Brentford Prediction for this English Premier League Week 2 matchup on Saturday, August 23^rd, at the Gtech Community Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Brentford Preview

Brentford is coming off a 1-3 road defeat by Nottingham Forest in the opening week of the Premier League. They had 46% possession of the ball and also had fewer total shots, with 10, and 3 shots on goal. They had 78% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 1.49 compared to Forest’s 1.83. Igor Thiago scored their only goal with a penalty shot.

Last season, Brentford scored 1.74 goals per game last season, while allowing 1.50 goals per game. Bryan Mbeumo was the top scorer for Brentford this season with 20 total goals, while Yoane Wissa followed with 18 goals. Mikkel Damsgaard was the team’s top passer, with 9 assists made.

Aston Villa Preview

Aston Villa is coming off a 0-0 home draw against Newcastle in their opening game of the season last week. Villa had 40% possession of the ball, and just three total shots in the whole game, all of them on target. They had just 0.20 expected goals, compared to Newcastle’s 1.44.

Last season, Aston Villa averaged 1.53 goals per games, while they allowed 1.34 goals per game. Ollie Watkins was the top scorer for Aston Villa last season with 16 total goals, while Morgan Rogers followed with 8 goals. Morgan Rogers was also the team’s top passer, with 10 assists made.

Why Brentford will win

• Brentford has won three of its last four EPL Saturday matches as an underdog.
• Brentford has won three of its last four EPL matches as an underdog following a league loss.
• Brentford has won four of its last five EPL Saturday day matches.
• Brentford has won three of its last four EPL Saturday matches.
• Aston Villa has lost three of its last four EPL matches as an away favorite following a league draw.
• Aston Villa has lost five of its last six EPL away matches following a league draw.
• The home team has won five of Aston Villa’s last seven EPL matches.

Why Aston Villa will win

• Aston Villa has won seven of its last eight EPL Saturday matches.
• Aston Villa has won each of its last four EPL Saturday day away matches.
• Aston Villa has won four of its last six EPL away matches.
• Aston Villa has won five of its last six EPL Saturday matches as a favorite

Total Points Facts

• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in four of the last five EPL matches between Brentford and Aston Villa.
• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in five of the last six EPL day matches between Brentford and Aston Villa.
• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in each of Aston Villa’s last five EPL matches.
• The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Aston Villa’s last five EPL matches.
• The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Brentford’s last three EPL home matches.

Aston Villa vs Brentford Prediction

Last season, Aston Villa won both meetings against Brentford. At home by 3-1 and on the road by 1-0.  Villa is 4-0-2 in their last 6 head-to-head meetings against Brentford, but against Brentford is 4-2-1 in their last 7 home meetings against Aston Villa. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Aston Villa vs Brentford Prediction, Villa is coming as +110 road favorites. Both teams are coming off underwhelming performances in their opening games of the season, and while Villa was a better team last season, they look absolutely terrible last week, with just three total shots and 0.20 expected goals. Last season Brentford had more home wins than Villa had on the road, and also Brentford has a good history at home against Villa. I think that Aston Villa is overvalued at this point, and i like the value with the big home dog in this one, so I will take Brentford by +0.5 goals.