Pick details
| MATCHUP | Wisconsin Badgers | Penn State Nittany Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| Spread | +10 -108 | -10 -112 |
| Moneyline | +300 | -380 |
| Total | Over 44.5 (-102) | Under 44.5 (-118) |
| Where | Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA | |
| When | Saturday, September 26, 2026 | |
| Time | 05:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | Peacock | |
Wisconsin Badgers Betting Preview
The Wisconsin Badgers beat Western Illinois and Eastern Michigan, and they play Michigan State next. Wisconsin has split its last 8 games. Colton Joseph is completing 63.5 percent of his passes for 752 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Tyrell Henry and Chris Brooks Jr. have combined for 461 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Malachi Coleman has 4 receptions.
The Wisconsin Badgers’ ground game is averaging 139 yards per contest, and Abu Sama III leads the way with 156 yards and 1 touchdown. On defense, Wisconsin allows 20 points and 289.3 yards per game. Cooper Catalano leads the Wisconsin Badgers with 26 tackles, Sebastian Cheeks has 2 sacks, and Matthew Jung has 1 interception.
Penn State Nittany Lions Betting Preview
The Penn State Nittany Lions beat Temple and Buffalo, and they play Northwestern next. Penn State looks for its fifth 4-0 start in the last six years. Rocco Becht is completing 70.3 percent of his passes for 751 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Koby Howard and Chase Sowell have combined for 470 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Benjamin Brahmer has 7 receptions.
The Penn State Nittany Lions’ ground game is averaging 205 yards per contest, and Carson Hansen leads the way with 169 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Penn State is allowing 7.3 points and 201 yards per game. Tony Rojas leads the Penn State Nittany Lions with 16 tackles, Caleb Bacon has 1 sack, and Bryson Williams has 1 interception.
Why the Penn State Nittany Lions will win
- Penn State has won each of its last 25 September home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Wisconsin has lost each of its last seven September games against AP-ranked teams.
- Wisconsin has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five September games as an underdog.
- Penn State has covered the spread in each of its last four home games.
- Wisconsin has lost the first half in each of its last seven games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
Why the Wisconsin Badgers will win
- Penn State has lost three of its last four games against conference opponents at West Shore Home Field at Beaver Stadium.
- Penn State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as a top-15 AP-ranked team at West Shore Home Field at Beaver Stadium.
- Wisconsin has covered the spread in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Wisconsin’s last six September games against AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Ten of Penn State’s last 13 games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Penn State Nittany Lions Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Rocco Becht ranks 4th amongst qualified players for passer rating (215.3) this season.
Wisconsin Badgers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Nate Palmer ranks 7th amongst FBS players for kick return yards (169) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Penn State ranks 3rd among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (7.3).
- Penn State ranks T3rd among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (3.0).
- Wisconsin ranks T124th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (80.0).
- Wisconsin ranks T18th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (+11.7).
Wisconsin vs Penn State Prediction
Wisconsin has shown some life offensively, and that’s intriguing entering this contest. However, Wisconsin hasn’t played any good in its last two games, and its one test against Notre Dame got ugly. Penn State is the more balanced team and has a defense that probably sets the tone in this spot. I’d look at the under as well, but the Nittany Lions should win this game rather comfortably. We’ll learn more about Wisconsin in this spot, but at the moment I don’t see enough talent on offense to hang in this spot. Give me PSU by double digits.
Randy Chambers's Pick: Penn State -10
