Pick details
| MATCHUP | Washington Huskies | Michigan State Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 5-4 | 3-6 |
| Spread | -3.5 -105 | +3.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | -170 | +142 |
| Total | Over 42.5 (-115) | Under 42.5 (-105) |
| Where | Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI | |
| When | Saturday, November 14, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:15 PM EST | |
| TV | BTN | |
Washington vs Michigan State Prediction
In this Washington vs Michigan State prediction for this College Football Week 11 matchup on Saturday, November 14th, Washington is coming as -3.5 road favorites. Washington has been the better team this season and have the same number of road wins as Michigan State has at home. The Spartans are 1-6 in their last 7 games and have one of the weakest offensive lines in the entire country and are going up against a top-50 defense in Washington. I like the guests as small road favorites, so take Washington and lay the -3.5 points.
Michigan State Spartans Preview
Michigan State has a 3-6 record and a 1-5 conference record, sitting on the 17th place of the Big Ten, while having a 2-3 home record and a 1-3 away record. They are coming off a 15-6 road win against Michigan, following a 10-28 road loss against UCLA and a 21-24 home loss against Northwestern, and will face Oregon and Rutgers next.
Offensively, Michigan State averages 19.3 points per game, while defensively, they allow 23.6 points per game. Michigan State averages 292.1 total yards per game (182 passing and 110.1 rushing), while allowing 337 total yards per game (142.7 rushing and 194.3 passing). They average 64.2 plays per game and 4.5 yards per play on offense, while allowing 62.4 plays per game and 5.4 yards per play on defense. Michigan State averages 18.2 first downs per game on offense and 18.7 first downs per game on defense. They average 6.4 yards per pass attempt and 3.1 yards per rush attempt. Michigan State has scored 18 touchdowns this season (8 passing and 10 rushing). They are converting 39.02% of their third downs and 55% of their fourth downs. They have thrown 6 interceptions this season, while their defense has intercepted 4 passes.
Alessio Milivojevic leads Michigan State with 1,451 passing yards with 65.4% completed passes and 7 touchdowns. Jaziun Patterson leads the team in rushing yards with 327, while Chrishon McCray has a team-high 381 receiving yards and 35 receptions. Defensively, Devin Vaught has a team-high 53 total tackles (36 of them solo), while Anelu Lafaele and Eli Coenen lead the team with 3.5 sacks each.
Washington Huskies Preview
Washington has a 5-4 record and a 2-4 conference record, sitting on the 10th place of the Big Ten, while having a 3-3 home record and a 2-1 away record. They are coming off a 25-28 home loss against Penn State, following a 17-10 road win against Nebraska and a 38-26 road win against Purdue, and will face Indiana and Oregon next.
Offensively, Washington averages 26.3 points per game, while defensively, they allow 21.9 points per game. Washington averages 364.4 total yards per game (265.1 passing and 99.3 rushing), while allowing 350.4 total yards per game (136 rushing and 214.4 passing). They average 63.6 plays per game and 5.7 yards per play on offense, while allowing 64.8 plays per game and 5.4 yards per play on defense. Washington averages 19.2 first downs per game on offense and 19.6 first downs per game on defense. They average 7.4 yards per pass attempt and 3.6 yards per rush attempt. Washington has scored 28 touchdowns this season (19 passing and 8 rushing). They are converting 33.33% of their third downs and 69.23% of their fourth downs. They have thrown 7 interceptions this season, while their defense has intercepted 12 passes.
Demond Williams Jr. leads Washington with 1,667 passing yards with 64.5% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Brian Bonner Jr. leads the team in rushing yards with 318, while Chris Lawson has a team-high 727 receiving yards and 49 receptions. Defensively, Alex McLaughlin has a team-high 63 total tackles (35 of them solo), while Jacob Manu and Alex McLaughlin lead the team with 3 sacks each.
Washington Huskies @ Michigan State Spartans Betting Trends: Week 11
Why the Michigan State Spartans will win
- The underdog has won five of Washington’s last six games.
- Washington has lost three of its last four road games in November.
- Washington has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Michigan State has covered the spread in four of its last five games in Michigan.
Why the Washington Huskies will win
- Michigan State has lost eight of its last nine games against conference opponents at Spartan Stadium.
- The favorite has won each of Michigan State’s last seven games at Spartan Stadium.
- Washington has covered the spread in each of its last four road games.
- Michigan State has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven November games at Spartan Stadium.
- The favorite has won the first half in 13 of Michigan State’s last 15 games.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Michigan State’s last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eight of Washington’s last 10 November games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
Michigan State Spartans Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Liam Boyd ranks T9th amongst FBS players for made field goals (16) this season.
Washington Huskies Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Hunter Green ranks 9th amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (48.1) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Michigan State ranks T11th among FBS teams for sacks this season (27.0).
- Michigan State ranks T127th among FBS teams for points per game this season (19.3).
- Washington ranks T11th among FBS teams for sacks this season (27.0).
- Washington ranks 13th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+4.9).
Nick Lagouretos's Pick: Washington -3.5
