Pick details
| MATCHUP | UConn Huskies | Miami (OH) Redhawks |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Spread | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | +150 | -180 |
| Total | Over 51.5 (-115) | Under 51.5 (-105) |
| Where | Yager Stadium, Oxford, OH | |
| When | Saturday, September 26, 2026 | |
| Time | 03:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Miami (OH) RedHawks Preview
Miami (OH) has a 1-2 record and are coming off a 31-35 road loss against Cincinnati. They will face Bowling Green and UMass next. Offensively, Miami (OH) averages 30 points per game, ranking 82nd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 33.7 points per game, which is 101st. Miami (OH) averages 378.7 total yards per game (277.3 passing and 101.3 rushing), while allowing 424.3 total yards per game (114.3 rushing and 310 passing).
David McComb leads Miami (OH) with 809 passing yards with 62.2% completed passes and 5 touchdowns. D’Shawntae Jones leads the team in rushing yards with 67, while Maleek Huggins has a team-high 10 receptions for 205 receiving yards. Defensively, Malcolm McCain has a team-high 22 total tackles (8 of them solo), while Grant Lyons leads the team with 2 sacks.
UConn Huskies Preview
UConn has a 2-1 record and are coming off a 48-20 road win against Southern Miss. They will face Syracuse and Temple next. Offensively, UConn averages 35 points per game, ranking 55th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 32.5 points per game, which is 98th. UConn averages 443.3 total yards per game (249.7 passing and 193.7 rushing), while allowing 361.7 total yards per game (97 rushing and 264.7 passing).
Kalieb Osborne leads UConn with 635 passing yards with 65.2% completed passes and 6 touchdowns, also adding a team-high 152 rushing yards. Shamar Porter has a team-high 6 receptions for 123 receiving yards. Defensively, Hayden Pegg has a team-high 21 total tackles (10 of them solo), while Anas Luqman leads the team with one sack.
Connecticut Huskies @ Miami (OH) RedHawks Betting Trends: Week 4
Why the Miami (OH) RedHawks will win
- Connecticut has lost each of its last 24 September games as an underdog.
- The favorite has won each of Miami (OH)’s last 20 games at Fred C. Yager Stadium.
- Miami (OH) has covered the spread in each of its last nine games as a favorite.
- Connecticut has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four road games against opponents from the Mid-American Conference.
- Connecticut has lost the first half in 13 of its last 14 September games as a road underdog.
- Miami (OH) has won the first quarter in eight of its last nine games at Fred C. Yager Stadium.
Why the Connecticut Huskies will win
- Miami (OH) has lost four of its last five games.
- Connecticut has won four of its last five games in September.
- Miami (OH) has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 12 games against non-conference opponents at Fred C. Yager Stadium.
- Connecticut has won the first half in seven of its last nine games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Miami (OH)’s last five games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of Connecticut’s last six September games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Miami (OH) RedHawks Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Damarion Witten ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (30.7) this season.
Connecticut Huskies Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Kalieb Osborne ranks T13th amongst FBS players for rushing touchdowns (4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Miami (OH) ranks 138th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (2.0).
- Miami (OH) ranks T1st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (100.0).
- Connecticut ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
- Connecticut ranks T7th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (14.0).
UConn vs Miami (OH) Prediction
In this UConn vs Miami (OH) Prediction, Miami (OH) is coming as -3.5 home favorites. Both teams are coming off opposite outcomes in the previous week but are both 2-1 ATS this season and have similar numbers so I will not pick a side. Both teams have been playing high-scoring games so far this season, as they average 65 ppg combined offensively and allow 66.2 ppg combined defensively. As a result, they are an almost perfect 5-1 to the over in their 6 games combined this season and I expect another high-scoring affair today. Take the over 51.5 points in this one.
Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 51.5
