Tulsa vs Arkansas Prediction 9/26/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate a Tulsa vs Arkansas prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 26th at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, Arkansas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 4 matchup. 

Tulsa Golden Hurricane Betting Preview

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane are 3-0 this season after they defeated East Texas A&M by a score of 42-0 last week. Tulsa led 14-0 at halftime and they added 14 points in the third quarter + 14 points in the fourth for the easy win. The Golden Hurricane out gained their opponent by a total of 450-288, went 5-13 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Dexter Williams II threw for 164 yards and three touchdowns, while Oran Singleton Jr caught two passes for 38 yards and one score. Seth Davis rushed nine times for 90 yards and one touchdown in the win. 

Prior to that game, Tulsa defeated Sam Houston by a score of 23-17 and Oklahoma State by a score of 24-10. The Golden Hurricane have scored 29.7 points per game with 172.3 passing yards and 220.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 9.0 points against per game this season. Dexter Williams II has thrown for 164 yards with three touchdowns and zero interceptions this season. 

Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview

The Arkansas Razorbacks are 1-2 this year after they lost to Georgia by a score of 45-17 last week. Arkansas trailed 21-3 at halftime and they allowed 24 points in the second half in the ugly loss. The Razorbacks were out gained by a total of 464-300, went 4-11 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. KJ Jackson threw for 212 yards and one touchdown, while Chris Marshall caught seven passes for 136 yards. Sutton Smith rushed six times for 17 yards and one score in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Arkansas lost to Utah by a score of 43-10, but did defeat North Alabama by a score of 31-14 in week one. The Razorbacks have scored 19.3 points per game with 264.7 passing yards and 75.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 34.0 points against per game this season. KJ Jackson has thrown for 618 yards with four touchdowns and two interceptions so far this year. 

Why the Arkansas Razorbacks will win

• Arkansas has won five of its last six games against non-conference opponents at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of Tulsa’s last three games.
• Tulsa has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four road games in September.
• Tulsa has lost the first half in 10 of its last 11 road games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the Tulsa Golden Hurricane will win

• Tulsa has won each of its last three games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Arkansas has lost three of its last four games as a favorite.
• Arkansas has failed to cover the spread in each of its last 10 games against non-conference opponents at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium.
• Tulsa has covered the spread in five of its last six games as an underdog.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Tulsa’s last eight road games against non-conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Ten of Arkansas’ last 12 games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Arkansas Razorbacks Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 4, Chris Marshall ranks T28th amongst FBS players for receptions (19) this season.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 4, Thomas Davis ranks T3rd amongst FBS players for sacks (4.0) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Arkansas ranks 134th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-8.7).
• Arkansas ranks T131st among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (3.3).
• Tulsa ranks 2nd among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (28.6).
• Tulsa ranks 133rd among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (24.4).

Tulsa vs Arkansas Prediction 

Tulsa comes into this matchup with a 3-0 record, which includes a great win over Oklahoma State. The Golden Hurricane have had a solid start to the season, but their starting QB is injured. Arkansas is looking for their first FBS win of the year, but they have played two very tough opponents so far. The Razorbacks have some ugly numbers on the season, but they still have way more talent and speed than Tulsa does. Take Arkansas to get a big victory at home to cover.

David Racey's Pick: Arkansas -7