Pick details
| MATCHUP | Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-6 | 7-2 |
| Spread | +17.5 -112 | -17.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | +600 | -900 |
| Total | Over 56.5 (-110) | Under 56.5 (-110) |
| Where | Joe Aillet Stadium, Ruston, LA | |
| When | Saturday, November 14, 2026 | |
| Time | 05:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech Prediction
In this Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech prediction for this College Football Week 11 matchup on Saturday, November 14th, Louisiana Tech is coming as -17.5 home favorites. Louisiana Tech has been the far better team this season, with a better record and have been undefeated at home. They have six consecutive wins and are almost perfect against the spread this season with an 8-1 ATS record, while on the other hand, Southern Miss is just 2-6 in its last 8 games and 3-5 against the spread and have been inferior both on the offensive and the defensive end, scoring 7.2 points per game less and allowing 13.2 points per game more. The line is big and for a reason as the books are expecting a blowout, so lay the points with the Bulldogs at home in this one.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Preview
Louisiana Tech has a 7-2 record and a 5-0 record in the Sun Belt. They are coming off a 41-17 road win against Troy, following a 35-20 road win against South Alabama and a 26-0 home win against Old Dominion, and will face Arkansas State and Georgia Southern next.
Offensively, Louisiana Tech averages 33.6 points per game, while defensively, they allow 20.4 points per game. Louisiana Tech averages 384.6 total yards per game (242.2 passing and 142.3 rushing), while allowing 324.8 total yards per game (125.6 rushing and 199.2 passing). They average 66.2 plays per game and 5.8 yards per play on offense, while allowing 65.7 plays per game and 4.9 yards per play on defense. Louisiana Tech averages 20.4 first downs per game on offense and 18.6 first downs per game on defense.
Blake Baker leads Louisiana Tech with 1,504 passing yards with 72.6% completed passes and 14 touchdowns. Andrew Burnette leads the team in rushing yards with 385, while Jalen Mickens has a team-high 628 receiving yards and 48 receptions. Defensively, Alonzo Jackson Jr. has a team-high 68 total tackles (34 of them solo), also adding a team-high 9 sacks.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles Preview
Southern Miss has a 3-6 record and a 2-3 record in the Sun Belt. They are coming off a 23-54 home loss against James Madison, following a 35-21 road win against UL Monroe and a 35-31 home win against Louisiana, and will face South Alabama and Old Dominion next.
Offensively, Southern Miss averages 26.4 points per game, while defensively, they allow 33.6 points per game. Southern Miss averages 394.4 total yards per game (236.1 passing and 158.3 rushing), while allowing 439.7 total yards per game (218 rushing and 221.7 passing). They average 70.3 plays per game and 5.6 yards per play on offense, while allowing 74.8 plays per game and 5.9 yards per play on defense. Southern Miss averages 20.8 first downs per game on offense and 23.7 first downs per game on defense.
Landry Lyddy leads Southern Miss with 1,326 passing yards with 58% completed passes and 8 touchdowns. Steven Robinson leads the team in rushing yards with 782, while Mario Sanders has a team-high 698 receiving yards and 50 receptions. Defensively, Mathis Haygood has a team-high 83 total tackles (35 of them solo), while Jameer Lewis leads the team with 4 sacks.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Betting Trends: Week 11
Why the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs will win
- Louisiana Tech has won each of its last seven games against conference opponents.
- Southern Miss has lost 10 of its last 11 games in November.
- Southern Miss has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Louisiana Tech has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Louisiana Tech has won the first half in each of its last four home games.
Why the Southern Miss Golden Eagles will win
- Southern Miss has won three of its last four games as an underdog against Louisiana Tech.
- Louisiana Tech has lost five of its last seven November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Southern Miss has covered the spread in 15 of its last 18 games against teams from Louisiana.
- Southern Miss has won the first half in three of its last four games against Louisiana Tech.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Southern Miss’ last six November games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Eight of Louisiana Tech’s last nine November games at Origin Bank Field at Joe Aillet Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Alonzo Jackson Jr. ranks T4th amongst FBS players for sacks (9.0) this season.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Mario Sanders II leads the Sun Belt Conference for receptions (50) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Louisiana Tech ranks T3rd among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (+8.7).
- Louisiana Tech ranks T7th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (12).
- Southern Miss ranks 136th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (26:20).
- Southern Miss ranks 136th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (29.6).
Nick Lagouretos's Pick: Louisiana Tech -17.5
