Samford vs UAB Prediction 10/3/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Samford vs UAB Prediction for this College Football Week 5 matchup on Saturday, October 3rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

UAB Blazers Preview

UAB has a 2-2 record and are coming off a 24-20 home win against Navy. They will face Memphis and East Carolina next. Offensively, UAB averages 21.8 points per game, ranking 112th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 25.8 points per game, which is 93rd. UAB averages 325.5 total yards per game (163 passing and 162.5 rushing), while allowing 319.3 total yards per game (206.3 rushing and 113 passing).

Ryder Burton leads UAB with 652 passing yards with 58.7% completed passes and 3 touchdowns. Roderick Robinson II leads the team in rushing yards with 263, while Tiaquelin Mims has a team-high 12 receptions for 196 receiving yards. Defensively, Muaaz Byard has a team-high 42 total tackles (29 of them solo), while Jo’Tavion Pierce leads the team with 2.5 sacks.

Samford Bulldogs Preview

Samford has a 1-3 record and are coming off a 45-7 home win against VMI. They will face Chattanooga and Mercer next. Offensively, Samford averages 23 points per game, while defensively, they allow 24 points per game. Samford averages 329.2 total yards per game (248.8 passing and 80.5 rushing), while allowing 337 total yards per game (169 rushing and 168 passing).

Kevonte Corbin leads Samford with 82 passing yards. Ken Cherry leads the team in rushing yards with 104, while Marquise Henderson has a team-high 14 receptions for 281 receiving yards. Defensively, Jalen Nelson has a team-high 29 total tackles, while David Yancey III leads the team with 1.5 sacks.

Samford Bulldogs @ UAB Blazers Betting Trends: Week 5

Why the UAB Blazers will win

• UAB has won each of its last nine games against teams from Alabama.
• UAB has covered the spread in four of its last five games against non-FBS teams.
• UAB has won the first quarter in each of its last eight home games against non-FBS teams.
• UAB has won the first half in nine of its last 10 games against teams from Alabama.

Why the Samford Bulldogs will win

• UAB has lost each of its last seven October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• UAB has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games as a favorite.
• The underdog has covered the spread in four of UAB’s last five games.
• UAB has lost the first half in each of its last five games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Six of UAB’s last seven home games have gone UNDER the total points line.

UAB Blazers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 5, Muaaz Byard leads the league for tackles (41) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Three of UAB’s four games this season have been decided by a margin of seven points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
• UAB ranks 2nd among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (113.0).

Samford vs UAB Prediction

In this Samford vs UAB Prediction, UAB is coming as -30.5 home favorites. Samford has been terrible this season, having won only once in its four games played against FCS teams and excluding their most recent 45-point outburst, they had scored 47 points across their first three games. On the flip side, UAB has won both of its home games and has a stable defense, allowing around 20 points per game against FBS teams, so they will have no trouble against Samford. Take UAB and lay the points at home.  

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: UAB -30.5