Pick details
| MATCHUP | Purdue Boilermakers | Illinois Fighting Illini |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Spread | +10 -110 | -10 -110 |
| Moneyline | +295 | -375 |
| Total | Over 62.5 (-110) | Under 62.5 (-110) |
| Where | Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL), Champaign, IL | |
| When | Saturday, October 3, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:15 PM EDT | |
| TV | BTN | |
Purdue Boilermakers Betting Preview
The Purdue Boilermakers lost to Notre Dame and UCLA, and they play Minnesota next. The Purdue Boilermakers have lost 13 of their last 15 games. Ryan Browne is completing 71.3 percent of his passes for 1,135 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Asaad Waseem and Xavier Townsend have combined for 638 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Chauncey Magwood has 10 receptions.
The Purdue Boilermakers’ ground game is averaging 101.5 yards per contest, and Fame Ijeboi leads the way with 289 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Purdue is allowing 39.5 points and 446 yards per game. John Slaughter leads the Purdue Boilermakers with 27 tackles, Jeremy Lewis has 1.5 sacks, and Don Saunders has 1 interception.
Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Preview
The Illinois Fighting Illini beat Southern Illinois, lost to Ohio State, and they play Michigan State next. Illinois has won 6 of its last 9 games. Katin Houser is completing 68.6 percent of his passes for 1,021 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Collin Dixon and Hudson Clement have combined for 657 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Ty Robinson has 8 receptions.
The Illinois Fighting Illini ground game is averaging 164.5 yards per contest, and Aidan Laughery leads the way with 272 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Illinois is allowing 26.5 points and 391 yards per game. Matthew Bailey leads the Illinois Fighting Illini with 28 tackles, Ean Rhea has 1 sack, and Ismael Kante has 1 interception.
Why the Illinois Fighting Illini will win
- Purdue has lost each of its last 16 road games.
- The favorite has won each of Purdue’s last eight games.
- Purdue has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six October road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Purdue has lost the first half in each of its last eight games as an underdog.
Why the Purdue Boilermakers will win
- Illinois has lost six of its last nine October games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Illinois has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games as a favorite against teams from Indiana.
- Purdue has covered the spread in five of its last six road games against Illinois.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Illinois’ last six games against teams from Indiana have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Purdue’s last five games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
Illinois Fighting Illini Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Ty Robinson ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.
Purdue Boilermakers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Jacobo Echeverria Lozano ranks T5th amongst FBS players for made field goals (8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Illinois ranks T123rd among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (88).
- Illinois ranks T17th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (11.3).
- Purdue ranks 133rd among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (20.5).
- Purdue ranks T7th among FBS teams for sacks this season (13.0).
Purdue vs Illinois Prediction
Purdue looks better than it has in past years, but it’s still not enough against good teams, and it still failed to cover 7 of its last 10 games. Illinois is becoming a respectable program under its coaching staff, and while the defense has to improve, the offensive balance should be enough to beat up on Purdue. The Boilermakers still have a way to go before I can make a habit of beating them week to week. I’ll lay the points with Illinois.
