Pick details
| MATCHUP | North Texas Mean Green | UTSA Roadrunners |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 7-2 | 7-2 |
| Spread | -2.5 -108 | +2.5 -112 |
| Moneyline | -125 | +105 |
| Total | Over 75.5 (-115) | Under 75.5 (-105) |
| Where | Alamodome, San Antonio, TX | |
| When | Saturday, November 14, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPNU | |
The North Texas Mean Green and the UTSA Roadrunners will meet Saturday night in a conference matchup at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas. Let’s take a look at this game from a betting perspective.
North Texas Mean Green vs. UTSA Roadrunners Prediction
In my view, this matchup favors the North Texas Mean Green. Why? North Texas enters the game with a 7-2 overall record, and the Mean Green have shown an explosive ability to overpower quality opponents. North Texas owns an elite offensive profile that compares favorably to anything UTSA has accomplished this season.
UTSA enters the contest with a 7-2 overall record as well, but the Roadrunners struggled in the team’s most recent outing, a 60-29 loss to Florida Atlantic last week.
Statistically, North Texas owns a massive advantage on the offensive side of the football. The Mean Green are averaging an incredible 44.7 points per game (ranking 3rd nationally), while allowing 30.9 points per contest. UTSA is scoring 33 points per game, but the Roadrunners are surrendering 29.8 points per contest, which ranks 109th in the country.
I think North Texas is the more explosive football team at this point in the 2026 regular season. The data just presented clearly illustrates that fact. With that said, I am backing the North Texas Mean Green on the moneyline in this game.
North Texas Mean Green Betting Preview
The North Texas Mean Green enter Saturday’s contest with a 7-2 overall record (5-0 home record and a 2-2 road record) which includes a 5-0 mark in American Conference play. North Texas arrives at this contest on the heels of a six-game winning streak. The Mean Green have amassed recent notable victories over Rice, Florida Atlantic, Navy and the Charlotte 49ers.
Looking ahead, the Mean Green have upcoming games with UAB and the Tulane Green Wave to finish the 2026 regular season.
How have the Mean Green performed from a team data perspective? North Texas is averaging 44.7 points per game (3rd in the nation), while allowing opponents 30.9 points per contest. The Mean Green have put together an impressive collection of high scoring performances this season, utilizing an aggressive offense to overwhelm opponents. Undoubtedly, North Texas’s explosive offensive approach has been a key reason why the team has found consistent success in 2026.
Senior quarterback Tayven Jackson has been a key contributor for the North Texas Mean Green this season, compiling 2,880 passing yards, 23 passing touchdowns, 98 rushing yards and 4 rushing touchdowns.
UTSA Roadrunners Betting Preview
The UTSA Roadrunners enter Saturday’s matchup with a 7-2 overall record (4-0 home record, 3-2 mark on the road and a 4-1 record in American Conference play). The Roadrunners arrive at this contest in good form. Let me be more specific. UTSA has won five of the team’s last six games played in 2026, amassing notable wins over Tulane, Navy and South Florida in that stretch.
The Roadrunners have played competitive football all season long, though defensive vulnerabilities have occasionally kept games closer than expected.
The UTSA Roadrunners are averaging 33 points per game while allowing 29.8 points per contest, which ranks 109th in the country. What did we learn from the data just presented? UTSA has generated enough offense to remain competitive, but defensive consistency will be vital if the Roadrunners hope to defeat a formidable North Texas team.
Why the North Texas Mean Green will win.
• Elite offense. North Texas averages a whopping 44.7 points per game which ranks third in the nation.
• Quarterback play. Senior signal caller Tayven Jackson has amassed 2,880 passing yards, 23 passing touchdowns, 98 rushing yards and 4 rushing touchdowns.
Why the UTSA Roadrunners will win.
• Home field advantage. The Roadrunners have played exceptional football at home, compiling a 4-0 win-loss record at the Alamodome.
• Current form. The UTSA Roadrunners have won five of the team’s last six games played this season.
Hans Geevers's Pick: North Texas ML
