Sep 26, 2026; Fayetteville, Arkansas, USA;  Tulsa Golden Hurricanes quarterback Dexter Williams II (5) fumbles the ball during the fourth quarter against the Arkansas Razorbacks at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium.  Mandatory Credit: Nelson Chenault-Imagn Images
IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

North Texas vs Tulsa Prediction 10/1/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP North Texas Mean Green Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Team Records 2-2 3-1
Spread +1.5 -115 -1.5 -105
Moneyline -105 -115
Total Over 57.5 (-112) Under 57.5 (-108)
Where Chapman Stadium, Tulsa, OK
When Thursday, October 1, 2026
Time 09:00 PM EDT
TV ESPN

In this article, we will formulate a North Texas vs Tulsa Prediction for this College Football Week 5 matchup on Thursday, October 1st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane Preview


Tulsa has a 3-1 record and are coming off a 6-34 road loss against Arkansas. They will face Navy and Rice next. Offensively, Tulsa averages 29.7 points per game, ranking 79th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 20.3 points per game, which is 42nd. Tulsa averages 354.8 total yards per game (173.3 passing and 181.5 rushing), while allowing 367 total yards per game (109.8 rushing and 257.3 passing).

Baylor Hayes leads Tulsa with 353 passing yards with 62.3% completed passes and 1 touchdown. Damari Alston leads the team in rushing yards with 213, while Oran Singleton has a team-high 15 receptions for 202 receiving yards. Defensively, Chris Thompson Jr. has a team-high 35 total tackles (15 of them solo), while Thomas Davis leads the team with 4 sacks.

North Texas Mean Green Preview


North Texas has a 2-2 record and are coming off a 63-14 home win against Houston Christian. They will face Charlotte and Navy next. Offensively, North Texas averages 31.7 points per game, ranking 66th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 40.3 points per game, which is 131st. North Texas averages 516 total yards per game (342 passing and 174 rushing), while allowing 377.3 total yards per game (164.8 rushing and 212.5 passing).

Tayven Jackson leads North Texas with 1,187 passing yards with 74.2% completed passes and 6 touchdowns. Jahiem White leads the team in rushing yards with 363, while Justin Stevenson has a team-high 19 receptions for 281 receiving yards. Defensively, CJ Coombes has a team-high 35 total tackles (13 of them solo), while Davion Rhodes leads the team with 2 sacks.

North Texas Mean Green @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane Betting Trends: Week 5


Tulsa Golden Hurricane Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 5, Thomas Davis ranks T10th amongst FBS players for sacks (4.0) this season.

North Texas Mean Green Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 5, Jahiem White ranks T2nd amongst FBS players for touchdowns (9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Tulsa ranks 137th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (57.1).
  • Tulsa ranks 5th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (64.3).
  • North Texas ranks 6th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (107).
  • North Texas ranks 7th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (342.0).

North Texas vs Tulsa Prediction


In this North Texas vs Tulsa Prediction, Tulsa is coming as -2.5 home favorites. Tulsa is coming off its first defeat of the season but has won and covered both of its home games this season, with a combined 68-10 score. On the flip side, North Texas’ both defeats have been on the road, where they conceded 101 points combined in those two games. Tulsa almost cracks the top-40 of the nation defensively, while North Texas ranks on the bottom-8, so I expect the home team to get the job done in this one. Take Tulsa and lay the -2.5.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Tulsa -2.5

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