Sep 12, 2026; Colorado Springs, Colorado, USA; North Dakota State Bison wide receiver Jeremiah Patterson (3) runs the ball in the second quarter against the Air Force Falcons at Falcon Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images
IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Nevada vs North Dakota State Prediction 10/17/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Nevada Wolf Pack North Dakota State Bison
Team Records 2-3 5-1
Spread +14.5 -108 -14.5 -112
Moneyline +500 -700
Total Over 42.5 (-110) Under 42.5 (-110)
Where Fargodome, Fargo, ND
When Saturday, October 17, 2026
Time 07:00 PM EDT
TV CBSSN

In this article we will formulate a Nevada vs North Dakota State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 17th at the Fargodome in Fargo, North Dakota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 7 matchup.

Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Preview

The Nevada Wolf Pack are 2-3 (1-1) this season after they defeated UTEP by a score of 30-13 in their last game. Nevada led 13-7 at halftime and scored the first 17 points in the second half to pull away with the win. The Wolf Pack out gained UTEP by a total of 376-211, went 4-13 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Carter Jones threw for 82 yards and one touchdown, while Gary Givens III caught five passes for 46 yards. Herschel Turner rushed 19 times for 192 yards and one score in the win.

Prior to that game, Nevada lost to Air Force by a score of 36-33 and Middle Tennessee by a score of 27-20. The Wolf Pack have scored 27.8 points per game with 168.2 passing yards and 212.2 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 22.0 points against per game this season. Carter Jones has thrown for 654 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions this season.

North Dakota State Bison Betting Preview

The North Dakota State Bison are 5-1 (2-1) this year after they lost to UNLV by a score of 13-7 last week. North Dakota State was tied 7-7 at halftime, but they allowed a field goal in the third and fourth in the low scoring loss. The Bison out gained UNLV by a total of 300-255, went 4-12 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 3-1 in the game. Nathan Hayes threw for 124 yards, one touchdown, and three interceptions, while Chris Kiel caught two passes for 30 yards and one score. Myles Mitchell rushed 22 times for 91 yards in the game.

Prior to that loss, North Dakota State defeated Wyoming by a score of 28-0 and Sacramento State by a score of 31-10. The Bison have scored 29.2 points per game with 193.0 passing yards and 171.8 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 10.3 points against per game this season. Nathan Hayes has thrown for 1,119 yards with eight touchdowns and five interceptions this year.

Why the North Dakota State Bison will win

  • Nevada has lost each of its last six October games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • North Dakota State has won five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • The favorite has won the first half in five of North Dakota State’s last six games.

Why the Nevada Wolf Pack will win

  • Nevada has covered the spread in seven of its last eight October games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

  • Six of Nevada’s last seven road games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Five of North Dakota State’s last six games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.

North Dakota State Bison Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 7, Jackson Williams leads North Dakota State for receptions (23) this season.

Nevada Wolf Pack Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 7, Damien Morgan leads Nevada for receptions (24) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • North Dakota State has won the second quarter in each of its last seven games – longest active streak in the FBS.
  • North Dakota State ranks 1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (58.3).
  • Nevada ranks T127th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (1).
  • Nevada ranks 13th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (155.8).

Nevada vs North Dakota State Prediction

North Dakota State comes into this matchup after their winning streak was snapped last week, but they have allowed 13 or fewer in four of their last five games. Nevada has dropped three of their last four games and they are dealing with an injury to their starting quarterback. The Wolf Pack have scored 62 points in their last two games, but the NDSU defense is very good. I think North Dakota State will control this game and I like them to cover here.

David Racey's Pick: North Dakota State -14.5

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