Marshall vs Missouri State Prediction 9/19/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

The Marshall Thundering Herd and the Missouri State Bears meet in week 3 college football action from Robert W. Plaster Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Missouri State Bears Prediction.

Marshall Thundering Herd Recap

The Marshall Thundering Herd come into this game looking to add on to their 28-26 win over Middle Tennessee last time out to sit at 1-1 on the year. After this game, Marshall will head home for a game against Gardner Webb.

Herd Looking To Build On First W

Carlos Del Rio-Wilson has thrown for 194 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions on 72.7% passing while also leading the Thundering Herd in rushing with 73 rushing yards and 1 touchdown so far this season. Zero more Thundering Herd have at least 100 rushing yards as well this season including Jo’Shon Barbie who has 49 yards and 0 TDs while Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw leads Marshall in receiving with 96 receiving yards and 5 catches along with 1 touchdown while Toby Payne leads the team with 9 catches along with 61 receiving yards and 0 touchdowns so far this season. On defense, Caleb Clark-Glover has a team-high 21 total tackles while Kelvon McBride and Nate Blanc lead the team with 1 sack each, and Marshall’s defense as a whole has combined for 2 sacks and 1 interception so far this season.

Missouri State Bears Recap

The Missouri State Bears come into this game looking to add on to their 48-14 win over Lindenwood last time out to improve to 1-1 this season. After this game, Missouri State will head on the road for a game against SMU.

Bears Looking To Pick Up Home Upset

Roman Gagliano has thrown for 443 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception on 61.6% passing while Antonio Martin leads the Blue Raiders in rushing with 135 rushing yards and 0 touchdowns so far this season. Zero more Blue Raiders have at least 100 rushing yards as well this season including Roman Gagliano who has 83 yards and 1 TD while Cam’ron Lacy leads Middle Tennessee in receiving with 190 receiving yards and 17 catches to lead Middle Tennessee along with 2 touchdowns as well this season. On defense, Korey Smith has a team-high 16 total tackles while Middle Tennessee’s defense as a whole has combined for 0 sacks and 0 interceptions so far this season.

Marshall Thundering Herd @ Missouri State Bears Betting Trends: Week 3

Why the Missouri State Bears will win

• Marshall has lost three of its last four games as a road favorite.
• Missouri State has won three of its last four home games.
• Marshall has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games.
• The underdog has covered the spread in eight of Marshall’s last 10 games.
• Missouri State has won the first quarter in three of its last four September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Marshall has lost the first half in four of its last five road games against non-conference opponents.

Why the Marshall Thundering Herd will win

• Marshall has won each of its last four road games against opponents from the Conference USA.
• Missouri State has lost four of its last five games.
• Marshall has covered the spread in each of its last four road games against opponents from the Conference USA.
• Missouri State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games.
• Missouri State has lost the first half in each of its last eight games as an underdog.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Marshall’s last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Missouri State’s last five games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Missouri State Bears Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 3, Isaiah Myers ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (31.0) this season.

Marshall Thundering Herd Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 3, Cooper Heimbach ranks 4th in the Sun Belt Conference amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (45.3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Missouri State ranks 135th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (22.5).
• Missouri State ranks T135th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (-12.0).
• One of Marshall’s two games this season have been decided by a margin of three points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
• Marshall has lost the third quarter in each of its last five games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.

Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Missouri State Bears Prediction

I’m on Missouri State and the points here. I just wasn’t left all that convinced with Marshall after that last game and for a team that I thought was heads and shoulders better than their opponent like Marshall was, it sure didn’t look like it in that game. I think Missouri State can grind here just like Middle did and make a game of this so give me Missouri State and the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Missouri State +4