Liberty vs Delaware Prediction 10/2/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate a Liberty vs Delaware prediction for this College Football game on Friday, October 2nd at Delaware Stadium in Newark, Delaware. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 5 matchup. 

Liberty Flames Betting Preview

The Liberty Flames are 3-1 (0-0) this season after they defeated Coastal Carolina by a score of 34-17 last week. Liberty trailed 17-10 at halftime, but they won the second half 24-0 for the big win. The Flames out gained Coastal by a total of 485-292, went 4-9 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at two in the game. Deshawn Purdie threw for 216 yards and two touchdowns, while Makai Jackson caught five passes for 149 yards and two scores. Kam Davis rushed 18 times for 166 yards in the win. 

Prior to that game, Liberty defeated Ball State by a score of 51-15 and Gardner-Webb by a score of 24-23. The Flames have scored 30.5 points per game with 221.5 passing yards and 189.8 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 18.8 points against per game this season. Deshawn Purdie has thrown for 779 yards with seven touchdowns and zero interceptions, while Kam Davis has 47 carries for 310 yards and one score this season. 

Delaware Blue Hens Betting Preview

The Delaware Blue Hens are 2-2 (0-0) this year after they lost to Virginia by a score of 42-3 last week. Delaware trailed 28-3 at halftime and they were shutout in the second half in the blowout loss. The Blue Hens were out gained by a total of 556-160, went 4-14 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Nick Minicucci threw for 24 yards, while Tae’Sean Robinson caught one pass for 38 yards. Jo Silver rushed 12 times for 49 yards in the game. 

Prior to that loss, Delaware defeated Coastal Carolina by a score of 22-14, but lost to Vanderbilt by a score of 35-26 before that. The Blue Hens have scored 23.3 points per game with 262.0 passing yards and 98.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 24.5 points against per game this season. Nick Minicucci (questionable) has thrown for 838 yards with five touchdowns and three interceptions, while Sean Wilson has 20 receptions for 292 yards and three scores this year. 

Why the Delaware Blue Hens will win

• Delaware has won each of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams at Delaware Stadium.
• Liberty has lost each of its last four games against conference opponents.
• Delaware has covered the spread in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams at Delaware Stadium.
• Liberty has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
• Liberty has lost the first half in three of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the Liberty Flames will win

• Liberty has won 13 of its last 15 October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The favorite has covered the spread in each of Delaware’s last three games at Delaware Stadium.

Total Points Facts

• Four of Liberty’s last five games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of Delaware’s last five games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Delaware Blue Hens Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 5, Blake Matthews ranks 1st in the Conference USA for sacks (4.5) this season.

Liberty Flames Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 5, Makai Jackson ranks T8th amongst FBS players for receiving touchdowns (5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Delaware ranks T130th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (1.8).
• Delaware ranks 130th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (276.8).
• Liberty ranks 6th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (3.5).
• Liberty ranks 126th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (4.8).

Liberty vs Delaware Prediction 

Liberty comes into this matchup after a huge second half to beat Coastal last week and they have won three games in a row. The Flames have scored 85 points in their last two games and the rushing attack has been very good. Delaware was blown out last week and their starting QB was injured in the loss. The Blue Hens played pretty well in their first three games, but only managed three points last week. We need to see if Minicucci is playing in this game, but assuming he is out, I will take Liberty on the road.

David Racey's Pick: Liberty -7.5