Kentucky vs Tennessee Prediction 11/7/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Kentucky vs Tennessee Prediction

Kentucky comes into this matchup on a nice winning streak and they have just one loss on the season, but they will be on the road. The Wildcats have played very well this year and they have scored 34+ points in four of their last five. Tennessee has won three of their last four games, but they are coming off of a terrible collapse in the final two minutes against South Carolina. The Volunteers don’t have a great passing attack, but Bishop is an elite running back. Tennessee has gone under 50.5 points in four of their last five games and I think we are in for another low scoring battle here. Take the under.

Kentucky Wildcats Betting Preview

The Kentucky Wildcats are 7-1 (5-1) this season after they defeated Vanderbilt by a score of 34-17 in their last game. Kentucky led 14-10 at halftime and they scored 20 points in the second half to secure the win. The Wildcats out gained Vanderbilt by a total of 376-262, went 8-13 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Kenny Minchey threw for 203 yards and one touchdown, while Kenny Darby caught four passes for 71 yards. Jovantae Barnes rushed 15 times for 68 yards in the game.

Prior to that win, Kentucky defeated Oklahoma by a score of 21-13 and LSU by a score of 35-34. The Wildcats have scored 32.9 points per game with 219.4 passing yards and 167.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 24.8 points against per game this season. Kenny Minchey has thrown for 1,755 yards with 14 touchdowns and one interception, while Kenny Darby has 38 receptions for 507 yards and three scores. CJ Baxter has led the running backs with 487 rushing yards and eight touchdowns this season.

Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview

The Tennessee Volunteers are 6-2 (3-2) this year after they lost to South Carolina by a score of 27-24 in their last game. Tennessee led 21-17 at halftime and 24-17 in the fourth quarter, but they allowed 10 points in the last 1:17 for the crushing defeat. The Volunteers were out gained by a total of 344-320, went 6-15 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. George MacIntyre threw for 136 yards, while DeSean Bishop rushed 32 times for 120 yards and one score. Braylon Staley led the receivers with six catches for 56 yards in the loss.

Prior to that game, Tennessee defeated Alabama by a score of 26-10 and Arkansas by a score of 24-17. The Volunteers have scored 32.3 points per game with 181.5 passing yards and 213.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 16.3 points against per game this season. George MacIntyre has thrown for 728 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions, while Mike Matthews has 34 receptions for 528 yards and three scores. DeSean Bishop has led the ground game with 957 yards and 11 scores this year.

Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win

• Tennessee has won seven of its last eight games against Kentucky.
• Kentucky has lost each of its last six games as an underdog against teams from Tennessee.
• Tennessee has covered the spread in each of its last four home games against top-10 AP-ranked teams.
• Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games as an underdog in Tennessee.
• The home team has won the first half in each of Kentucky’s last five games.

Why the Kentucky Wildcats will win

• Tennessee has lost each of its last seven November games against AP-ranked teams.
• Kentucky has won each of its last six games.
• Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven November games against AP-ranked teams.
• The underdog has covered the spread in 10 of Tennessee’s last 11 games at Neyland Stadium.
• The road team has won the first half in four of Tennessee’s last five games.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of Kentucky’s last eight games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of Tennessee’s last eight games in Tennessee have gone UNDER the total points line.

Tennessee Volunteers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, DeSean Bishop ranks 6th amongst FBS players for rushing attempts (171) this season.

Kentucky Wildcats Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, Jordan Castell/Ty Bryant lead the Southeastern Conference for interceptions (4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Tennessee ranks 5th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (27.3).
• Tennessee ranks 9th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (165.6).
• Kentucky is one of only six FBS teams undefeated in road games this season (3-0).
• Kentucky ranks 117th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (249.4).

Positive Trends

When looking at the trends, you can see we have plenty of angles that point towards each team, but I am going with the under. Tennessee has gone under the total in seven of their last eight games at home, which has something to do with being a top 10 passing defense in the country. Kentucky isn’t great in pass defense, but Tennessee is not a very strong passing team. Take the under in this game.

David Racey's Pick: Under 49.5