Pick details
| MATCHUP | Iowa Hawkeyes | Michigan Wolverines |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Spread | +5.5 -110 | -5.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | +180 | -218 |
| Total | Over 38.5 (-112) | Under 38.5 (-108) |
| Where | Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI | |
| When | Saturday, September 26, 2026 | |
| Time | 03:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | CBS | |
Michigan Wolverines Preview
Michigan has a 3-0 record and are coming off a 52-17 home win against UTEP. They will face Minnesota and Penn State next. Offensively, Michigan averages 27.3 points per game, ranking 94th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 13 points per game, which is 14th. Michigan averages 323.3 total yards per game (175.7 passing and 147.7 rushing), while allowing 220 total yards per game (96.3 rushing and 123.7 passing).
Bryce Underwood leads Michigan with 504 passing yards with 62.5% completed passes and 3 touchdowns. Bryce Underwood leads the team in rushing yards with 156, while JJ Buchanan has a team-high 15 receptions for 266 receiving yards. Defensively, Troy Bowles has a team-high 25 total tackles (13 of them solo), while John Henry Daley leads the team with 2.5 sacks.
Iowa Hawkeyes Preview
Iowa has a 3-0 record and are coming off a 55-0 home win against Northern Iowa. They will face Ohio State and Washington next. Offensively, Iowa averages 37 points per game, ranking 47th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 4.3 points per game, which is 1st. Iowa averages 477 total yards per game (209 passing and 268 rushing), while allowing 176.7 total yards per game (66 rushing and 110.7 passing).
Hank Brown leads Iowa with 473 passing yards with 72.6% completed passes and 3 touchdowns. Kamari Moulton leads the team in rushing yards with 240, while Tony Diaz has a team-high 17 receptions for 201 receiving yards. Defensively, Cam Buffington has a team-high 27 total tackles (17 of them solo), while Joseph Anderson leads the team with 2 sacks.
Iowa Hawkeyes @ Michigan Wolverines Betting Trends: Week 4
Why the Michigan Wolverines will win
- Michigan has won 33 of its last 34 home games in September.
- Iowa has lost 13 of its last 14 games against AP-ranked teams.
- Iowa has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games as an AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
- Michigan has covered the spread in each of its last four games against Iowa.
- Michigan has won the first quarter in each of its last five games against Iowa.
- Michigan has won the first half in each of its last 18 September games as a home favorite.
Why the Iowa Hawkeyes will win
- Iowa has won each of its last six games.
- Michigan has lost each of its last four games as an AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
- Iowa has covered the spread in each of its last five road games against conference opponents.
- Michigan has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games as an AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
- The underdog has won the first quarter in four of Michigan’s last five games.
- Iowa has won the first half in six of its last seven games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Iowa’s last five September games against AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Michigan’s last four home games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Michigan Wolverines Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, John Henry Daley ranks T3rd in the Big Ten Conference for sacks (2.5) this season.
Iowa Hawkeyes Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Kamari Moulton ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Carry (9.2) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Michigan has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
- Michigan has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (1).
- Iowa ranks 1st among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (4.3).
- Iowa has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 40+ points of any FBS team this season (2).
Iowa vs Michigan Prediction
In this Iowa vs Michigan Prediction, Michigan is coming as -5.5 home favorites. Both teams have been undefeated this season and both rank on the top-20 of the country thus far. Michigan has covered the spread in two of its three games, but almost falls out of the top-100 offensively, while Iowa has been better on both sides of the court, with a top-50 offense and the best defense in the nation but will be tested for the first time on the road. Michigan has been dominating Iowa in recent years, having won their last four meetings and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings, so I trust them to win and cover the -5.5 spread at home in this one.
Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Michigan -5.5
