Boise State vs Colorado State Prediction 11/7/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Boise State vs Colorado State Prediction

There are obviously better ways to spend your Saturday than to get involved with this matchup. Boise State is obviously the better team, but it’s also 1-3 ATS in its last four games and has struggled with these big numbers all season. Heck, Boise State nearly just lost to Texas State. It feels like the Broncos are just skating by these days.

Now, Colorado State is terrible, including being 138th in total defense, rush defense, and scoring defense. I’m scared. Still, we’re getting three scores with a hook with the home team. It’s where I want to be if forced to make a pick. Wouldn’t touch this game personally, but it’s Colorado State and the points if forced to pick.

Boise State Broncos Betting Preview

The Boise State Broncos beat Washington State and Texas State, and they play Oregon State next. The Boise State Broncos have won 7 straight games. Maddux Madsen is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 1,681 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Rasean Jones and Matt Wagner have combined for 882 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Akeem Wright has 21 receptions.

The Boise State Broncos’ ground game averages 222.8 yards per contest, and Dylan Riley leads with 1,049 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, Boise State is allowing 23.6 points and 360.3 yards per game. Boen Phelps leads the Boise State Broncos with 49 tackles, Lopez Sanusi has 3.5 sacks, and Travis Anderson has 3 interceptions.

Colorado State Rams Betting Preview

The Colorado State Rams beat San Diego State, lost to Utah State, and they play Washington State next. Colorado State has lost 5 of its last 6 games. Hauss Hejny is completing 67.2 percent of his passes for 1,138 yards, 14 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Terrence Smith Jr. and RJ Vick have combined for 794 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Jackson Harper has 27 receptions.

The Colorado State Rams’ ground game averages 164.6 yards per contest, and Mel Brown leads with 454 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Colorado State is allowing 42.4 points and 526.4 yards per game. Oumar Diomande leads the Colorado State Rams with 76 tackles, Elijah Brown has 1.5 sacks, and CJ Blocker has 3 interceptions.

Why the Colorado State Rams will win

• The home team has won four of the last five games between Boise State and Colorado State.
• Boise State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games as an AP-ranked team.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of Colorado State’s last three games.

Why the Boise State Broncos will win

• The favorite has won each of Boise State’s last 13 games.
• Colorado State has lost 19 of its last 20 November games as an underdog.
• Boise State has covered the spread in six of its last seven games against teams from Colorado.
• Colorado State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as a home underdog.
• Colorado State has lost the first half in each of its last six games in November.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Colorado State’s last six games at Canvas Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Boise State’s last five games as a favorite against teams from Colorado have gone OVER the total points line.

Colorado State Rams Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, Ksaan Farrar ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for sack percentage (1.4%) this season.

Boise State Broncos Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, Dylan Riley is one of only three players in the FBS to record 1,000 rushing yards with less than 200 attempts this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Colorado State ranks 138th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (26.8).
• Colorado State ranks 138th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (526.4).
• Boise State ranks T7th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (10.8).
• Boise State ranks 8th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (52.3).

Randy Chambers's Pick: Colorado State +17.5