Baylor vs BYU Prediction 11/14/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Baylor vs BYU Prediction

I’m going to take a stab on Baylor, but you could make a case either way here. The Bears are coming off a nice win at McLane Stadium over a decent Iowa State team, notching 423 yards and 20 first downs with zero turnovers along the way. Baylor gave up 472 yards on the other side though, along with 25 first downs and an 8-of-17 success rate on third downs. The Bears have consecutive wins in the bag now, and they’ve scored well in that pair with 83 combined points. If Baylor can hit the scoreboard a few times here as well, they’ll be in great shape.

As for BYU, they’re coming off a bad second half in a loss on the road versus a very good Utah team. The Cougars posted just 15 first downs with four interceptions and had 11 team penalties for 80 yards. BYU’s defense gave up 330 yards and 16 first downs with a couple of fumble recoveries. I could see the Cougars bouncing back here but I think Baylor can play well enough to contend.

Game Info, Stats and Previews

The Baylor Bears and the BYU Cougars meet Saturday in college football action from LaVell Edwards Stadium in Provo. Here’s a collection of relevant information and reasoning for a sound Baylor vs BYU prediction. We have looked at this information from a betting perspective and attempted to determine the best Baylor vs BYU pick. We will also examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. We will tie it all together to the pick summary, resulting in a sensible prediction for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Baylor Bears Betting Preview

Baylor has a few missteps so far this year but overall they’re not doing too badly in the record column. The Bears opened with a loss to Auburn by one point, then took out Prairie View, LA Tech, Colorado and Arizona State in the next four. Since then it’s been losses to TCU and Kansas followed by wins over Central Florida and Iowa State. In nine games this year that gives the team a 6-3 overall record.

Last weekend at home versus Iowa State, the Bears fell behind 10-0 early but came back to carve out a 21-17 lead by the break. Baylor kept it rolling in the second half, eventually taking the win 42-31. QB DJ Lagway was 16-of-28 for 229 yards and two scores. Lagway also led the rush with 13 carries for 119 yards and another TD, while Taz Williams had a 62-yard touchdown catch to lead the receivers.

BYU Cougars Betting Preview

Over on the BYU side, they kicked off the season with a six-game win streak. Those victories came versus Utah Tech, Arizona, Colorado State, TCU, Iowa State and Notre Dame in succession. The Cougars are just 1-2 since then, however. The win came versus Arizona State; otherwise it was losses to Central Florida and Utah. That gives BYU a 7-2 record across their first nine games this season.

Matched up against Utah last weekend, BYU came back from an early 14-0 deficit to claim a 20-14 lead at the break. The Cougars were shut out in the second half though, and ended up losing a tough game 28-20. QB Bear Bachmeier was 21-of-35 for 272 yards, one TD and four picks while leading the rush with eight carries for 59 yards. Legend Glasker was the top man among receivers with his seven catches for 118 yards and a score.

Baylor Bears @ BYU Cougars Betting Trends: Week 11

Why the BYU Cougars will win

• BYU has won each of its last 10 games as an AP-ranked team at LaVell Edwards Stadium.
• Baylor has lost each of its last six November road games against AP-ranked teams.
• Baylor has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four November games against AP-ranked teams.
• BYU has covered the spread in 10 of its last 12 games as a favorite.
• BYU has won the first half in 11 of its last 12 games at LaVell Edwards Stadium.

Why the Baylor Bears will win

• BYU has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games against conference opponents.
• Baylor has covered the spread in three of its last four November road games against AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Six of BYU’s last seven November games as a home favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of Baylor’s last five games against AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

BYU Cougars Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 11, Bear Bachmeier leads BYU for touchdowns (8) this season.

Baylor Bears Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 11, Gavin Freeman ranks T4th amongst FBS players for receptions (69) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• BYU ranks 13th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (+7.0).
• BYU ranks 17th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (11.9).
• Baylor ranks 8th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (+7.4).
• Baylor ranks T10th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (31.8).

Andrew Jett's Pick: Baylor Bears +7.5