Oct 10, 2026; Tempe, Arizona, USA; Arizona State Sun Devils quarterback Cutter Boley (8) against the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors at Mountain America Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images
IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Arizona State vs Texas Tech Prediction 10/17/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Arizona State Sun Devils Texas Tech Red Raiders
Team Records 3-2 5-0
Spread +15.5 -110 -15.5 -110
Moneyline +500 -700
Total Over 50.5 (-108) Under 50.5 (-112)
Where Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, TX
When Saturday, October 17, 2026
Time 03:30 PM EDT
TV Fox

The Arizona State Sun Devils and the Texas Tech Red Raiders meet in week 7 college football action from Galaxy Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction.

Arizona State Sun Devils Recap

The Arizona State Sun Devils come into this game looking to add on to their 30-12 win over Hawaii last time out to sit at 3-2 this season. After this game, Arizona State will head home for a game against Kansas State.

Sun Devils Alternate Wins & Losses In First 5 Games

Cutter Boley has thrown for 1,229 yards, 12 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 62.7% passing while Kyson Brown leads Arizona State in rushing with 290 yards and a touchdown. Cardae Mack sits behind Brown on the ground with 214 yards and 2 touchdowns. Reed Harris leads the Sun Devils in receiving with 590 yards and 34 catches along with 7 touchdowns, while Omarion Miller trails with 312 yards and 31 catches along with 2 touchdowns. On defense, Owen Long has a team-high 48 tackles while Arizona State’s defense as a whole has combined for 10 sacks and 3 interceptions.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Recap

The Texas Tech Red Raiders come into this game looking to add on to their 29-7 win over Colorado last time out to sit at 5-0 on the year. After this game, Texas Tech will head on the road for a game against Cincinnati.

Red Raiders Looking To Clinch Bowl Eligibility

Will Hammond has thrown for 1,102 yards, 5 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 68.3% passing while J’Koby Williams leads Texas Tech in rushing with 373 yards and 3 touchdowns. Cameron Dickey sits behind Williams on the ground with 242 yards and 4 touchdowns. Kenny Johnson leads the Red Raiders in receiving with 298 yards and 17 catches along with a touchdown, while Coy Eakin trails with 194 yards and 16 catches along with 2 touchdowns. On defense, Austin Romaine has a team-high 35 tackles while Texas Tech’s defense as a whole has combined for 11 sacks and 9 interceptions.

Arizona State Sun Devils @ Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Trends: Week 7

Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win

  • Texas Tech has won each of its last 13 games in Texas.
  • Arizona State has lost eight of its last nine road games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
  • Texas Tech has covered the spread in eight of its last nine home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Arizona State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games in October.
  • Texas Tech has won the first quarter in each of its last nine home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Texas Tech has won the first half in each of its last nine home games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the Arizona State Sun Devils will win

  • Arizona State has won three of its last four October games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
  • Arizona State has covered the spread in each of its last six October games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Arizona State has won the first half in each of its last four October games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Arizona State has won the first quarter in four of its last six October games as an underdog against top-10 AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Texas Tech’s last four games against teams from Arizona have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Four of Arizona State’s last five games against top-15 AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 7, J’Koby Williams ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Arizona State Sun Devils Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 7, Reed Harris ranks T5th amongst FBS players for receiving touchdowns (7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Texas Tech ranks T3rd among FBS teams for interceptions this season (9).
  • Texas Tech ranks 3rd among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+8.6).
  • Arizona State ranks 136th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (-6.8).
  • Arizona State ranks T130th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (3.2).

Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction

I’m on Texas Tech here. I have to admit I may have given too much credit to Arizona State coming into the year and maybe sold stock too soon on Texas Tech. The Red Raiders look legit, especially defensively, and I think Arizona State could have some trouble in this matchup. I think that the Red Raiders win this one by margin, so give me the Red Raiders here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Texas Tech -15.5

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