Appalachian State vs NC State Prediction 9/26/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

The App State Mountaineers and the NC State Wolfpack meet in week 4 college football action from Carter-Finley Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an App State Mountaineers vs. NC State Wolfpack Prediction.

App State Mountaineers Recap

The App State Mountaineers come into this game looking to add on to their 26-21 win over Charlotte last time out to sit at 3-0 this season. After this game, App State will head home for a game against Old Dominion.

Mountaineers Looking For Road Upset To Stay Unbeaten

Malachi Singleton has thrown for 889 yards, 5 touchdowns and 1 interception on 74.5% passing while Jaquari Lewis leads App State in rushing with 188 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns so far this season. Ja’Quez Cross sits behind Lewis on the ground with 92 yards and 0 TDs. Sam Pickett leads the Mountaineers in receiving with 229 yards on 15 catches along with 2 touchdowns, while Darron Fagan trails with 128 yards on 12 catches. On defense, Colton Phares has a team-high 16 total tackles and leads the team with 1 sack, while Dre Walker recorded a team-high 2 interceptions. App State’s defense as a whole has combined for 4 sacks and 3 interceptions so far this season.

NC State Wolfpack Recap

The NC State Wolfpack come into this game looking to bounce back from a 35-31 loss at the hands of Vanderbilt last time out to sit at 1-2 this season. After this game, NC State will take on Louisville at home.

Wolfpack Alternate Wins & Losses To Start Year

CJ Bailey has thrown for 640 yards, 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 64.9% passing while Jayden Scott leads NC State in rushing with 198 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns so far this season. Bailey sits behind Scott on the ground with 93 yards and 1 TD. Keenan Jackson leads the Wolfpack in receiving with 231 yards on 15 catches along with 3 touchdowns, while Preston Douglas trails with 121 yards on 9 catches along with 1 touchdown. On defense, Popo Aguirre has a team-high 27 total tackles, Elijah Satchell and Adrian Farrow each lead the team with 1 sack, and Brody Barnhardt, AJ Prim, and LaCorian Hodge have each recorded 1 interception. NC State’s defense as a whole has combined for 3 sacks and 3 interceptions so far this season.

Appalachian State Mountaineers @ NC State Wolfpack Betting Trends: Week 4

Why the NC State Wolfpack will win

• NC State has won 31 of its last 32 games against non-conference opponents at Carter-Finley Stadium.
• Appalachian State has lost each of its last four games against opponents from the Atlantic Coast Conference.
• NC State has covered the spread in each of its last five games at Carter-Finley Stadium.
• Appalachian State has failed to cover the spread in 13 of its last 17 September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Appalachian State has lost the first half in nine of its last 10 games as a road underdog.
• NC State has won the first quarter in each of its last six games at Carter-Finley Stadium.

Why the Appalachian State Mountaineers will win

• Appalachian State has won seven of its last eight games as an underdog in North Carolina.
• NC State has lost three of its last four games in September.
• Appalachian State has covered the spread in each of its last nine games as an underdog in North Carolina.
• NC State has failed to cover the spread in 12 of its last 15 games in September.
• Appalachian State has won the first half in each of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
• Appalachian State has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of Appalachian State’s last nine games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of NC State’s last four games against teams from North Carolina have gone OVER the total points line.

NC State Wolfpack Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 4, Davion Gause ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Appalachian State Mountaineers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 4, Alex Sanchez ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• NC State ranks 129th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (85.7).
• NC State ranks T125th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (10.3).
• Two of Appalachian State’s three games this season have been decided by a margin of seven points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
• Appalachian State ranks T5th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (5).

App State Mountaineers vs. NC State Wolfpack Prediction

I’m on App State and the points here. This could be a sensible bounce back spot to look at NC State in this game as the Wolfpack have playing the much tougher schedule up to this point. However, NC State blew it in a big way last week, and it’s so hard to make a case for them in their current form when that’s the case, especially laying a big number in a game I think App State gets up for. I think NC State wins, but I have this game at 28-17 in favor of the Wolfpack, so give me App State and the points in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: App State +14