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Youngstown State vs Robert Morris Prediction 3/11/25 College Basketball Picks

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Robert Morris (25-8) vs Youngstown State (21-12)

March 11, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Robert Morris -3.5 — Over/Under: 140.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Youngstown State vs Robert Morris Prediction for this college basketball game on Tuesday, March 11th, at the Indiana Famers Coliseum. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Penguins’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Colonials’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Youngstown State

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Robert Morris

-Recent betting trends in games played between Youngstown State and Robert Morris

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Penguins and Colonials.

This is the semifinal game in the Horizon League Tournament. Youngstown State is the fourth seed, while Robert Morris is the top seed. When these two teams faced off on January 22nd, Robert Morris secured the 72-70 victory. 

Big Test for Robert Morris

It was a big test for Robert Morris in the last game against Oakland, but somehow, they could pick up the overtime victory. Robert Morris only scored five points in overtime, but the defense gave up only two. Kam Woods couldn’t be contained, scoring 23 points, seven assists, and four rebounds. He wasn’t the only one, though, as five players put up at least 10 points. In the first game against the Tournament, Robert Morris scored 82 points against Wright State to pick up the win. 

Robert Morris has a 25-8 record overall, and they have gone 24-8 against the spread. Robert Morris wants to push the pace, and they are averaging 76.5 points per game. The defense, at times, has been an issue, though, and they are giving up 70.2 points per game. In this game, the faster the pace is, and the better the offense performs, especially early, is going to be good news for their chances to come out on top. Guard Kam Woods has been the top player, averaging 14.8 points, shooting 37.3 percent from the field and 28.5 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Why Robert Morris Will Beat Youngstown State

  • Robert Morris has won each of its last nine night games.
  • Youngstown State has lost three of its last four games against Conference opponents at neutral venues.
  • Robert Morris has won the first half in five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

What a Win for Youngstown State

It was quite the win for Youngstown State on Monday as they upset Cleveland State. Youngstown State’s defense made quite the statement giving up only 54 points and that was enough for the two-point victory. In the first game of the tournament against Purdue Fort Wayne, it was a little more comfortable winning by five points. This is an offense that has been good, especially as of late so it was a bit shocking that the defense was able to lead them to the win on Monday. 

Youngstown State has a 21-12 overall record and has gone 16-14-1 against the spread. The Penguins are averaging 76.4 points while their defense is giving up 71.4 points per game. In this game, the defense is going to need to make the stops to really put the pressure on. EJ Farmer has been the top player, averaging 15.1 points while shooting 41.3 percent from the field.  

Total Points Facts

  • Eight of Robert Morris’ last nine Conference Tournament night games have produced a total of 141+ points.
  • Each of Youngstown State’s last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue has produced a total of 138 or fewer points.

Youngstown State vs Robert Morris Prediction

After such an emotional win on Monday for Youngstown State, I don’t trust they will succeed here. Robert Morris is an elite offensive team that averages 76.5 points per game. The two defenses are similar, but Robert Morris is giving up fewer points per game, which will be the difference. Robert Morris is 6-0 against the spread in their last six games against a team with a winning straight-up record. Youngstown State is going to have no answer here with their offense, and Robert Morris will end up cruising. Back Robert Morris to win and cover the spread. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Robert Morris -3.5

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