Western Kentucky vs Liberty Prediction College Basketball Picks 1/2/25

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Liberty (12-1) vs Western Kentucky (9-4)

January 2, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Liberty -8 — Over/Under: 145.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Western Kentucky vs Liberty Prediction for this college basketball game on Thursday, January 2nd, at the Liberty Arena. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Hilltoppers’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Flames’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Liberty

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Western Kentucky

-Recent betting trends in games played between Liberty and Western Kentucky

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Hilltoppers and Flames. 

These two teams faced off twice last season and the home team was able to secure the victory in each of the games. 

Liberty Look for 10th Straight Win

Liberty has all kinds of confidence heading into this game and they have won nine straight games. Liberty in the last game faced off against UT Arlington and they scored 79 points, but even better was the defense giving up only 56 points. Liberty shot 52.9 percent from the field and held UT Arlington to only 31.4 percent from the field. Kaden Methany had a huge game putting up 23 points, five assists, and four rebounds. There were three different players that put up at least 18 points. Two games ago against St Andrews, the offense scored 124 points and this is an offense that has all kinds of confidence right now. 

Liberty overall this season is averaging 81.4 points while their defense is giving up 58.2 points per game. The offense is ranked 65th in the league while the defense is ranked 6th. The offense might get the headlines, but the defense for this team has sure been impressive. They are shooting 51.3 percent from the field which is also 5tth in the league. Kaden Methany has been the top player for Liberty averaging 14.2 points while shooting 46.8 percent from the field and 44.2 percent from behind the three-point line. Liberty will face Middle Tennessee and Sam Houston following this one.

Can Western Kentucky Bounce Back

Western Kentucky has had a solid start to the season, but they were blown out in the last game. The Hilltoppers faced off against a good Michigan team, and the defense gave up 112 points on the way to the defeat. Don McHenry was the top scoring put up 18 of the 64 points that the Hilltoppers were able to score. Western Kentucky shot only 36.4 percent from the field and 20 percent from behind the three-point line.

Western Kentucky on the season is averaging 80.6 points while their defense is giving up 76.2 points per game. The offense is ranked 79th while the defense is ranked 299th. From the free throw line, they are shooting only 72.3 percent which that can be improved upon a bit. Guard Don McHenry has been the top player for Western Kentucky this season, averaging 18.5 points while shooting 44.3 percent from the field and 36.5 percent from behind the three-point line. Western Kentucky will meet FIU after this game.

Why Western Kentucky Will Beat Liberty

  • Western Kentucky has won six of its last seven games.
  • Liberty has lost five of its last six night games against Conference opponents.
  • Western Kentucky has won the first half in each of its last three games against Conference opponents.

Western Kentucky vs Liberty Prediction

This game is going to all come down to the Western Kentucky offense against the Liberty defense. This Hilltoppers’s offense has been good, but now they are facing an elite defense in Liberty. Even against a good defense, I expect the Hilltoppers are going to find success. Western Kentucky is averaging 80.6 points per game and although they might not reach that number they are going to get close, and that will be enough to cover the spread. Back Western Kentucky against the spread. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Western Kentucky +8

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