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Wake Forest vs North Carolina Prediction 1/10/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | North Carolina Tar Heels |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 10-6 | 13-2 |
| Spread | +10.5 -105 | -10.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | +455 | -625 |
| Total | Over 152.5 (-108) | Under 152.5 (-112) |
| Where | Dean E. Smith Center, Chapel Hill, NC | |
| When | Saturday, January 10, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ACC Network | |
North Carolina Tar Heels Preview
North Carolina Tar Heels have a 13-2 record this season and are tied for 7th place in ACC. They have a 10-0 home record and are coming off a 97-83 away loss against SMU. Their previous three games were a 79-66 home win against Florida State, a 99-51 home win against East Carolina and a 71-70 home win against Ohio State.
Offensively, North Carolina averages 81.3 points per game, while allowing 65.9 points per game defensively. The Tar Heels shoot with 47% from the field and grab 41.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.5 assists per game. They average 3.9 blocks per game and 5.5 steals per game defensively.
Caleb Wilson leads North Carolina in scoring, with an average of 19.3 points per game, while shooting with 55.7% from the field and 69.5% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 10.9 rebounds. Kyan Evans adds a team-high 3.5 assists per game.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons Preview
Wake Forest Demon Deacons have a 10-6 record this season and are tied for 14th place in ACC. They have a 0-1 home record and are coming off an 81-77 home loss against Miami. Their previous three games were an 81-78 home win against Virginia Tech, a 70-57 away loss against NC State and a 98-67 home loss against Vanderbilt.
Offensively, Wake Forest averages 81.6 points per game, while allowing 74.7 points per game defensively. The Demon Deacons shoot with 45% from the field and grab 35.1 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.3 assists per game. They average 3.8 blocks per game and 9.5 steals per game defensively.
Juke Harris leads Wake Forest in scoring, with an average of 19.9 points per game, while shooting with 45.4% from the field and 76.6% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 6.3 rebounds. Nate Calmese adds a team-high 5 assists per game.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Trends: January 10, 2026
Why the North Carolina Tar Heels will win
- North Carolina has won each of its last 16 games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team at Dean E. Smith Center.
- Wake Forest has lost each of its last nine games against AP-ranked opponents.
- North Carolina has won the first half in each of its last 23 games at Dean E. Smith Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Wake Forest Demon Deacons will win
- Wake Forest has won nine of its last 10 Saturday night games.
- Wake Forest has won the first half in five of its last six night games against North Carolina.
Total Points Facts
- Each of North Carolina’s last seven games at Dean E. Smith Center have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
- Each of Wake Forest’s last four games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 153+ points.
Wake Forest vs North Carolina Prediction
In this Wake Forest vs North Carolina Prediction, North Carolina is coming as -9.5 home favorites. North Carolina has been the better team this season with just two defeats in 15 games played and have been undefeated at home. They have also been better against the spread and are 7-1 in their last 8 games. On the flip side, Wake Forest is just 1-3 in its last 4 games and has failed to cover its last five games, so the value here lies with the home favorite who also has the 21st-best defense in the entire country. Take North Carolina and lay the points.
