VMI vs UNC Greensboro Prediction 3/6/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP VMI Keydets UNC Greensboro Spartans
Team Records 6-26 14-18
Where Harrah's Cherokee Center, Asheville, NC
When Friday, March 6, 2026
Time 07:30 PM EST
TV ESPN+

The VMI Keydets and the UNC Greensboro Spartans meet Friday in college basketball action from the Harrah’s Cherokee Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a VMI Keydets vs. UNC Greensboro Spartans prediction.

VMI Keydets Recap

The VMI Keydets come into the conference tournament as the 10-seed, finishing with a league worst 6-25 record including a 1-17 win in conference play. 

Keydets Looking To Spring Upset

TJ Johnson leads the Keydets in scoring and rebounding with 18.4 PPG and 7 RPG while Linus Holmstrom has 10.9 PPG with 2.5 RPG and Tan Yildizoglu has 10.1 PPG with 3.6 RPG and a team-high 4.7 APG to lead VMI in assists and to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for VMI so far this season. Mario Tatum Jr. has 8.5 PPG as well. As a team, VMI is averaging 72 PPG on 40.1% shooting from the field, 32.8% from three and 72.5% from the foul line this season.

Why the VMI Keydets will win

– North Carolina-Greensboro has lost each of its last five games at Harrah’s Cherokee Center.
– North Carolina-Greensboro has lost the first half in three of its last four games.

UNC Greensboro Spartans Recap

The UNC Greensboro Spartans come into this conference tournament as the 7-seed, finishing the year 13-18 overall including a 9-9 mark in SoCon play. 

Spartans Looking To Make Run

Justin Neely leads the Spartans across the board with 17.6 PPG, 11.4 RPG and 2.5 APG while KJ Younger has 14.6 PPG with 4.7 RPG and Donald Whitehead Jr. has 10.5 PPG with 1.6 RPG and 2.5 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for UNC Greensboro up to this point in the year. Lilian Marville also has 9.4 PPG with 2.1 RPG and Valentino Pinedo’s also contributed 7.4 PPG and 4.7 RPG as well on the year. As a team, UNC Greensboro is averaging 78.7 PPG on 45.6% shooting from the field, 36.5% from three and 70.2% from the foul line so far this season.

Why the North Carolina-Greensboro Spartans will win

– VMI has lost each of its last 16 games.
– North Carolina-Greensboro has won each of its last seven night games against VMI.
– VMI has lost the first half in 15 of its last 16 games.

Total Points Facts

– Each of North Carolina-Greensboro’s last 19 games against Conference opponents at Harrah’s Cherokee Center have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
– Each of VMI’s last seven games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.

VMI Keydets vs. UNC Greensboro Spartans Prediction

I’m on UNC Greensboro here. I get the case to be made for the Keydets here, but the thing is that the Spartans for me are the far better team and while these one and done tournaments can bring these underdogs out of the woodwork, I don’t think the Keydets have enough to get them up and over the hump here. Give me UNC Greensboro.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: UNC Greensboro -7.5

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