Virginia vs Florida State Prediction 2/10/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Virginia Cavaliers and the Florida State Seminoles will meet on Tuesday evening in an ACC matchup at the Donald L. Tucker Civic Center in Tallahassee, Florida.

Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview

The Florida State Seminoles enter Tuesday night’s contest with a 11-12 win-loss record, including a 4–6 mark in conference play and a 9-4 record at home. The Seminoles have compiled wins over Alcorn State, Alabama State, Tennessee‑Martin, Georgia Southern, and CSU Bakersfield, while dropping games to Florida, Georgia, Texas A&M, Houston and the Dayton Flyers. Earlier this season, in the Florida State Seminoles dominant 98–72 victory over the Georgia Southern Eagles earlier this season, Florida State guard Lajae Jones tallied 36 points, 3 steals, 2 assists and 1 block illustrating his ability to lead the Seminoles backcourt.

The Florida State Seminoles average 80.8 points (62nd in country) on 42.3 percent shooting from the field and 31.6 percent shooting from three‑point range per game. Defensively, the Seminoles are allowing opponents to score 79.6 points per contest.

Senior guard Robert McCray V leads the Florida State Seminoles backcourt averaging 14.4 points, 3.7 rebounds, 6.2 assists and 1.3 steals per game. Senior guard Lajae Jones adds 11.3 points, 5.6 rebounds, 1.1 steals and 1.1 block per contest. Senior forward Alex Steen anchors the paint averaging 7.4 points, 5.9 rebounds and 0.8 blocks per game.

Virginia Cavaliers Betting Preview

The Virginia Cavaliers enter Tuesday’s contest with a 20–3 win‑loss record, including a 9–2 mark in conference play and a 6-1 record on the road. Virginia has amassed wins over Syracuse, Pittsburgh, Boston College and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, while dropping recent games to North Carolina and the Virginia Tech Hokies. More recently, in the Virginia Cavaliers’ 67–47 win over Pittsburgh six days ago, Virginia guard Sam Lewis compiled 15 points (5 of 10 shooting from the field: 4 of 8 from three-point range), 3 rebounds, 1 assist and 1 steal.

The Virginia Cavaliers average 82.8 points (40th in country) on 46.7 percent shooting from the field and 35.7 percent shooting from behind the arc per game. Shifting our attention to the defensive side of the basketball, the Cavaliers are allowing 67.9 points per contest which ranks 34th in the nation.

Forward Thijs De Ridder leads the Cavaliers averaging 16.4 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. Senior guard Malik Thomas contributes 12.6 points, 4 rebounds and 1.7 assists per contest. Senior center Ugonna Onyenso provides the Cavaliers with a quality interior presence averaging 6.6 points, 4.7 rebounds and 2.5 blocks per game.  

Why the Florida State Seminoles Will Win

• Quality scoring. Florida State guards Robert McCray V and Lajae Jones combine for over 25 points per game.

• Frontcourt play. Senior forward Alex Steen anchors the paint for the Seminoles averaging 7.4 points, 5.9 rebounds and 0.8 blocks per game.

• Home court edge. The Florida State Seminoles have amassed a 9-4 record at home.  

Why the Virginia Cavaliers Will Win

 • Elite defense. The Virginia Cavaliers have allowed just 67.9 points per game which ranks 34th in the country.

• Frontcourt production. Thijs De Ridder averages 16.4 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.6 assists, giving Virginia a reliable interior presence.

• Recent momentum. The Virginia Cavaliers arrive at tomorrow night’s contest on the heels of a four-game winning streak.

Virginia Cavaliers vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction

This matchup features Virginia’s defensive consistency and quality frontcourt production against a Florida State team that plays with high-tempo pace and has been rather competitive at home (9-4). Florida State’s recent defensive volatility make the Seminoles difficult to trust against a disciplined Virginia team that executes efficiently on both ends of the floor. With that said, I am backing the Virginia Cavaliers to win this game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Virginia TBA