UNLV vs San Diego State Prediction 3/6/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The UNLV Rebels and San Diego State Aztecs meet Friday in college basketball action at the Viejas Arena. Here’s a UNLV vs. San Diego State prediction. This article will include a UNLV vs. San Diego State pick.

UNLV Rebels Betting Preview

The UNLV Rebels beat Nevada and Utah State. UNLV has won 6 of its last 8 games.

The UNLV Rebels are averaging 80 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 78.5 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn is averaging 20.6 points and 3.1 rebounds, while Kimani Hamilton is averaging 12.7 points and 2.1 assists. Tyrin Jones is the third double-digit scorer and Howie Fleming Jr. is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The UNLV Rebels are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 69.2 percent from the free throw line. The UNLV Rebels are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.5 rebounds per game.

San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs lost to New Mexico and Boise State. San Diego State has lost 4 of its last 5 games.

The San Diego State Aztecs are averaging 79.1 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 71 points on 40 percent shooting. Reese Dixon-Waters is averaging 13 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Miles Byrd is averaging 10.8 points and 4.5 rebounds. BJ Davis is the third double-digit scorer, and Magoon Gwath is dishing 0.3 assists. The San Diego State Aztecs are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 75 percent from the free throw line. The San Diego State Aztecs are allowing 3.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.4 rebounds per game.

Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win

• San Diego State has won 14 of its last 15 games against the Mountain West Conference at Viejas Arena.
• UNLV has lost the first half in four of its last five night games.

Why the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels will win

• San Diego State has lost four of its last five games against conference opponents.
• UNLV has won six of its last seven games following a home win.

Total Points Facts

• Nine of UNLV’s last 10 games against conference opponents have produced a total of 157+ points.
• Thirty-five of San Diego State’s last 39 night games against conference opponents at Viejas Arena have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• San Diego State ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (39.9%).
• San Diego State ranks 20th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (22.7).
• UNLV ranks 35th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (24.3).
• UNLV ranks T36th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (4.6).

UNLV vs San Diego State Prediction

San Diego State is the better, deeper team and should be favored at home, but this is a lot of points for a team that’s lost 4 of its last 5 games. San Diego State lost to Colorado State and Grand Canyon during that stretch. Not great. SDSU has taken major steps back defensively. Sure, UNLV isn’t the team we saw earlier in the season but the fact we saw flashes of that team earlier shows there’s potential with this roster. UNLV has six road wins. UNLV isn’t a pushover and will have its chances if San Diego State continues to struggle. I want the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: UNLV +9.5