UNLV vs New Mexico Prediction 3/7/25 College Basketball Picks

The UNLV Rebels and New Mexico Lobos meet on Friday in college basketball action at The Pit. Here’s a UNLV vs New Mexico prediction. This article will include a UNLV vs New Mexico Pick.

UNLV Rebels Betting Preview

The UNLV Rebels (17-13, 13-16-1 ATS) successfully put their worst period of the season behind them with six wins in seven games. Namely, the Rebels were on a five-game losing skid from late January to early February but got a grip and finished the regular season on a strong note. UNLV defeated Wyoming, Air Force, and Fresno State when Colorado State prevented it from making a four-game streak. However, UNLV returned to winning ways against San Jose State, Nevada, and San Diego State. The Rebels are 6th in the Mountain West Standings with three games ahead of Nevada and five behind the leaders New Mexico.

UNLV is averaging 69.7 PPG (310th) and is allowing 67.19 PPG (61st). The Rebels are getting 33.7 RPG (310th) and dish out 12.1 APG (337th). Dedan Thomas Jr. is the team’s top scorer with 15.6 PPG, 2.0 RPG, and a team-high 4.7 APG. Jaden Henley adds 12.2 PPG, 4.1 RPG, and a team-high 1.5 SPG, while Jailen Bedford contributes 10.1 PPG and 4.0 RPG.

New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview

The New Mexico Lobos (24-6, 14-15 ATS) suffered a couple of straight losses to Boise State and San Diego State, which was the first time this season they lost consecutive games. Still, the Lobos recovered in time to beat Air Force and Nevada and clinch their No. 1 seed in the Mountain West, although that place was in jeopardy following those two losses. New Mexico is a win ahead of Colorado State but with a better overall record and the Lobos already defeated the Rams twice this season.

New Mexico averages 82.3 PPG (21st) and allows 71.5 PPG (168th). The Lobos are 25th in rebounds (39.6) and 89th in assists (15.3). Donovan Dent leads the team with 20.4 PPG, 2.4 RPG, a team-high 6.5 APG, and 1.5 SPG. Nelly Junior Joseph follows him with 13.4 PPG, a team-high 11.0 RPG, 1.3 SPG, and a team-high 1.5 BPG, while Mustapha Amzil has 11.7 PPG and 5.3 RPG.

Why UNLV will cover

• UNLV has won six of its last seven games.
• New Mexico has lost the first half in three of its last four night games against the Mountain West Conference.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of UNLV’s last nine games have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.
• Seven of New Mexico’s last eight night games at The Pit have produced a total of 149+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• New Mexico ranks 15th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (5.2).
• New Mexico ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (15.3).

UNLV vs New Mexico Prediction

UNLV won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters and was close to getting a win this season as well, but New Mexico did escape with a narrow 75-73 victory in Vegas. The Rebels covered eight of the past ten H2Hs, including each of the last four. New Mexico will likely be cautious with its key players, so I don’t expect the Lobos to risk anything on Friday. Both teams will enter this tilt relaxed, but I am backing the Rebels to cover.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: UNLV +11.5