Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals Prediction 7/26/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Diamondbacks vs Nationals Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, July 26th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Washington Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals have a 53-52 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL East. They have a 21-32 home record and are coming off a 5-3 home win against the Diamondbacks. They will face the Blue Jays and the Braves next.

The Washington Nationals have a .253 batting average this season, .328 OBP and .443 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 4.76 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. CJ Abrams is the team’s best hitter with a .293 batting average, adding a team-high 79 RBI. James Wood adds a team-high 28 home runs.

Miles Mikolas (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Washington Nationals, and he has a 3-7 record, 5.60 ERA and 1.34 WHIP.

Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 55-50 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL West. They have a 24-28 away record and are coming off a 3-5 road loss against the Nationals. They will face the Pirates and the Guardians next.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a .242 batting average this season, .313 OBP and .393 Slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Ildemaro Vargas is the team’s best hitter with a .270 batting average. Ketel Marte leads the team in RBI with 60, adding a team-high 18 home runs.

Kohl Drake (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he has a 0-0 record, 1.80 ERA and 1.20 WHIP.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Washington Nationals Betting Trends: July 26, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Miles Mikolas      Record this season: 3-7      ERA: 5.60
• Home Record: 3-3
• Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 2-3

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Nationals have won three of their last four games as home underdogs against NL West opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have lost 10 of their last 15 games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have won the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against the Diamondbacks at Nationals Park.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine road day games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Kohl Drake      Record this season: 0-0      ERA: 1.80
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Nationals: –

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Diamondbacks have won each of their last seven road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have lost seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Diamondbacks following a home win.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Diamondbacks’ last eight day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Nationals’ last five home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Nationals’ last eight games as underdogs.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Diamondbacks’ last six games as favorites.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• James Wood has hit a home run in four of the Nationals’ last five games as underdogs.
• CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last nine home games.
• Miles Mikolas has recorded three or more strikeouts in each of his last 15 appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (37) this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Corbin Carroll has hit a home run in three of the Diamondbacks’ last seven day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Ryan Waldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with the Diamondbacks as favorites.
• Corbin Carroll is one of only seven players to record 10+ Home Runs and 4+ Triples this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (574).
• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (574).
• The Diamondbacks rank T1st in the league for triples this season (24).
• The Diamondbacks rank T1st in the league for triples this season (24).

Diamondbacks vs Nationals Prediction

The Nationals are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Dbacks and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Washington.   

In this Diamondbacks vs Nationals Prediction, the Diamondbacks are coming as -120 road favorites. I like the Diamondbacks in a bounce back spot today as they will be facing a struggling Miles Mikolas, who has given up 13 runs in his last two starts and has been bad at home with a 5.92 ERA. Arizona’s offense has been scorching-hot lately, as they average 7.9 runs per game against right-handed pitching in their last five games, so I expect them to get away with the road victory in this one.  

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks ML